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THE HOME STRAIGHT SHOWDOWN
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tip Top Katieb 2y 6 | K M O'flaherty — 19% R348 W67 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 49 | 44 (1) | 32 (2) | 58 (1) | 46 (2) | 24 (5) | 31 (4) | 23 (5) | 29 (4) | 44 (1) | 30 (3) | 34 | 28 | 15 | 45 | 38 | 43 | 5 | 9/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Townsend Peggyb 3y 7 | D K Hurlock — 19% R940 W181 P520 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 52 | 37 (4) | 33 (3) | 45 (1) | 30 (5) | 38 (3) | 46 (1) | 58 (1) | 38 (2) | 36 (2) | 38 (2) | 29 | 39 | - | 37 | 39 | 49 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ten Poundb 3y 25 | D Mullins — 18% R371 W65 P232 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 38 | 42 (2) | 32 (3) | 42 (3) | 40 (4) | 50 (1) | 41 (2) | 31 (5) | 33 (5) | 27 (6) | 36 (5) | 30 | 30 | 37 | 23 | 39 | 39 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Catunda Stephd 1y 15 | D K Hurlock — 19% R940 W181 P520 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 39 | 36 (3) | 45 (1) | 37 (2) | 45 (1) | 58 (1) | 42 (4) | 50 (2) | 47 (2) | 47 (3) | 35 (3) | 25 | 41 | 18 | 48 | 43 | 43 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ El Regresod 3y 7 | M E Wiley — 19% R520 W101 P275 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 53 | 38 (2) | 30 (6) | 27 (5) | 51 (5) | 26 (1) | 31 (3) | 44 (5) | 27 (2) | 29 (6) | - | 32 | 22 | 26 | 24 | 34 | 47 | 2 | 2/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Clasheen Diorb 2y 8 | T Batchelor — 16% R113 W18 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 71 | 35 (3) | 34 (4) | 57 (1) | 30 (5) | 35 (3) | 31 (3) | 29 (5) | 26 (6) | 40 (2) | 37 (3) | 25 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 36 | 43 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
The best risk-adjusted selection in this race, combining a speed of 54 and composite of 47 — both within one or two points of the field leaders — with an All-Rounder pace profile that is the preferred type at Romford's tight four-bend circuit. Trap 5 at 22.4% is the second-strongest structural position at A10. Where Townsend Peggy has a fractionally better metrics edge, the combination of better trap, better pace profile and broadly similar form credentials tips the balance. A second at A10 last time out shows the ability to compete at this grade. The speed signal at A10 is exceptional and El Regreso is close enough to rank 1 to benefit from that signal without the trap penalty.
Composite and speed rank 1 with strong trainer — but bad trap and Closer profile.
Rising form from lower grades but metrics below the top two here.
Mid-field metrics, low early pace Closer, and a weak draw at A10.
Best trap at A10 plus strong trainer, but metrics behind pick and first run at A10.
Won at lower grade but form below the leaders at A10 and Fader profile concern.
Trap 4 dominates at A10 at 26.2%. Speed rank 1 wins an exceptional 30.9% at this grade — highest speed signal on today's card. Avoid traps 2, 3 and 6 at A10.
T1:19.9% T2:17.2% T3:16.6% T4:26.2% T5:22.4% T6:17.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tip Top Katie | 51 | 34 | All-Rounder |
2Townsend Peggy | 50 | 56 | Closer |
3Ten Pound | 35 | 100 | Closer |
4Catunda Steph | 38 | 89 | Closer |
5El Regreso | 50 | 44 | All-Rounder |
6Clasheen Dior | 64 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.