The model's projected winner, drawn in trap six which has a decent record at these conditions. She drops back down from D4 where she showed she can compete at a higher level, posting a fifty-four earlier in her career. Her speed rating is the second-best in the field and her best clock is competitive. The concern is that she's been away since mid-March and her last few efforts in D4 were modest. No pace profile data is available, adding uncertainty. The class suitability score is the highest in the field, which reflects her experience at a higher level, but whether that translates tonight after a break is the question.