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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Random Vickyb 4y 17 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 31 (4) | 28 (4) | 43 (1) | 37 (2) | 19 (4) | 100 (1) | 83 (2) | 44 (1) | 43 (1) | 35 (1) | 49 | 53 | 43 | 51 | 43 | 45 | 2 | 13/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Roanna Smileyb 2y 8 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 39 (2) | 39 (1) | 38 (1) | 31 (1) | 32 (1) | 28 (2) | 31 (1) | 23 (4) | 25 (4) | 28 (2) | 1 | 62 | 35 | 72 | 34 | 35 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Quivers Rafad 3y 45 | J A Danahar — 18% R312 W55 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 45 | 73 (2) | 92 (1) | 46 (6) | 86 (1) | 73 (2) | 60 (5) | 62 (4) | 91 (1) | 78 (3) | 71 (3) | 43 | 37 | - | - | 73 | 34 | 6 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Hawkfield Tiptoed 2y 4 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 37 (2) | 31 (4) | 43 (1) | 34 (2) | 35 (2) | 27 (5) | 41 (2) | 35 (6) | - | - | 30 | 40 | 47 | 42 | 36 | 37 | 4 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Tri Bellab 2y 8 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 30 (4) | 30 (3) | 74 (5) | 69 (3) | 51 (2) | 20 (6) | 42 (4) | 32 (1) | 30 (5) | - | 52 | 55 | 14 | 28 | 43 | 45 | 5 | 11/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ashway Blastoffd 3y 17 | A G Rawlings — 20% R228 W46 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 55 | 54 (6) | 68 (3) | 77 (2) | 81 (1) | 53 (4) | 29 (2) | 27 (5) | 31 (4) | 43 (2) | 40 (1) | 47 | 53 | 19 | 45 | 56 | 44 | 1 | 10/3 | |
Drops massively in class tonight from A2 grade over 460 metres into a D2 sprint, and is drawn in the best trap at this grade where trap 6 wins over 27% of races. The key is that his Fader profile works at 260 metres — the trip is too short for the fade to kick in, and his early pace rating of 56 is comfortably the best in the field. Has been leading races at A2 and A3 level — running 28.78 when second at A2 and winning at A3 in 28.92. That class of form dwarfs anything these D2 dogs have produced. Even allowing for the sphere change from standard trip to sprint, the combination of best trap, best early pace, and a massive class advantage makes him the clear pick.
Best speed, proven course and distance, solid trap — a strong danger.
In excellent form but drawn in the worst trap at this grade.
Quality dog but Closer at Valley 260m is a structural impossibility.
Consistent and proven at the trip but moderate speed and middling trap.
Poor recent form, worst trap, slowest on the clock — others preferred.
T6 dominates at 27.2% from 191 runs. Speed R1 wins 29.6% — strongest signal. Two class-droppers from 460m A2/A3.
T1:21.0% T2:16.2% T3:18.2% T4:17.0% T5:14.7% T6:27.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.