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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crokers Musicb 1yN/R 14 | J A Danahar — 17% R301 W52 P172 Trainer form — last 3 months | 33 | 40 | 22 (2) | 21 (5) | 42 (5) | 27 (2) | 23 (4) | 21 (3) | - | - | - | - | 15 | 2 | - | 23 | 26 | 20 | - | - | ||
| 2 | ▶ Hawkfield Jackieb 2y 15 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | - | 25 (6) | 38 (1) | 33 (2) | 80 (3) | 29 (4) | 33 (1) | 19 (6) | 23 (3) | 26 (6) | 29 (2) | 37 | 29 | 9 | 31 | 35 | 35 | 5 | 7/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Dark Trooperd 3y 4 | J A Danahar — 17% R301 W52 P172 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | - | 100 (1) | 39 (1) | 28 (3) | 24 (5) | 29 (3) | 28 (3) | 31 (2) | 34 (1) | 33 (1) | 23 (5) | 35 | 28 | 13 | 41 | 43 | 36 | 4 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Burkos Busterd 2y 6 | A L Jeffery — 20% R381 W75 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | - | 34 (2) | 33 (3) | 33 (2) | 31 (3) | 34 (3) | 23 (4) | 100 (1) | 38 (1) | 27 (5) | 38 (1) | 33 | 39 | 16 | 41 | 37 | 38 | 1 | 10/3 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Faithb 4y 15 | D S Davy — 22% R404 W88 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 60 | 42 (1) | 32 (3) | 35 (2) | 29 (5) | 54 (5) | 57 (4) | 66 (4) | 32 (4) | 32 (4) | 36 (6) | 43 | 40 | 46 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 3 | 10/3 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Hawkfield Tiptoed 2y 5 | A L Jeffery — 20% R381 W75 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | - | 31 (4) | 43 (1) | 34 (2) | 35 (2) | 27 (5) | 41 (2) | 35 (6) | 35 (3) | - | - | 36 | 39 | 45 | 39 | 35 | 36 | 2 | 5/6F | ||
Hawkfield Tiptoe is the pick and the case is built primarily on the best draw in the race. T6 at Valley 260m in D2 produces winners at 27.13%, which is by far the dominant position at this track and distance. She placed at D2 grade here two races ago and won two races before that, confirming she is well suited to Valley 260m specifically. Her speed figures are competitive at 55 in the field. From T6 at Valley 260m with recent winning form at the track, she is the logical call. Confidence is kept at Tentative given the quality of Dark Trooper from T3 but the draw advantage from T6 is too significant to ignore.
Best speed in field, recent 260m OR winner on 3 May. Genuine danger despite a below-average draw tonight.
Closer profile at 260m, low performance rating, minimal Valley form. All factors point away tonight.
Has shown ability at open race level but not dominant enough from T2 to win at Valley 260m tonight.
Always placing but rarely winning at this track. Consistent form that does not quite reach winning level at 260m.
Won D2 last time but worst draw in the race at 15.03% from T5 makes repeating that win very difficult tonight.
T6 dominates D2 at Valley 260m at 27.13%. At this distance trap position and early pace are the decisive factors. The composite ranking model offers no meaningful edge at 260m.
T1:17.4% T2:18.6% T3:16.8% T4:17.2% T5:15.03% T6:27.13%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.