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ELLENS 21ST BIRTHDAY STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Espressod 2y 14 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 50 | 81 (3) | 70 (5) | 61 (1) | 78 (1) | 63 (4) | 68 (4) | 62 (3) | 47 (6) | - | - | 47 | 40 | - | 40 | 55 | 50 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Assertivd 1y 23 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 39 | 32 (6) | 58 (5) | 65 (3) | 80 (3) | 52 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 38 | 68 | - | 60 | - | 23 | 6 | 11/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Flyd 3y 35 | P D Burr — 19% R253 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 46 (6) | 63 (6) | 78 (4) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 90 (2) | 89 (2) | 67 (3) | 79 (3) | - | 59 | - | 14 | - | 74 | 67 | 1 | 11/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ King Floydd 1y 24 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 43 | 100 (1) | 48 (6) | 70 (3) | 59 (4) | 77 (2) | 77 (2) | 65 (3) | 51 (6) | 58 (3) | 72 (3) | 57 | 46 | - | 37 | 65 | 58 | 2 | 15/8F | |
| 5 | ▶ Silver Sandsb 3y 16 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 66 | 31 (5) | 49 (6) | 77 (1) | 46 (5) | 53 (4) | 64 (3) | 38 (5) | 65 (2) | 48 (5) | 51 (4) | 4 | 32 | - | 38 | 63 | 43 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Move Over Harryd 2y 34 | M L Locke — 23% R292 W66 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 52 | 52 (5) | 64 (6) | 83 (3) | 80 (3) | 63 (2) | 76 (3) | 84 (2) | - | - | - | 44 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 69 | 51 | 3 | 10/3 | |
Swift Fly (Trap 3) emerges as standout selection based on strong combined credentials. Performance rating 74/100 anchors the analysis, with recent form trajectory P72→P87→P60→P60→P82→P88 (newest→oldest). Detailed suitability profile shows: Trap score 59, Track suitability 0, Distance compatibility 0, Class rating 14. Pace profile classified as Closer, which the 400m distance demands. Trainer P D Burr maintains solid 22% strike rate across recent campaigns. Last race headline: Last race: P72 at
Perf 69/100, Suitability 22, Composite 50.2. Pace All-Rounder. Secondary threat, monitor first bend.
Perf 55/100, Suitability 32, Composite 45.7. Pace Closer. Secondary threat, monitor first bend.
Perf 65/100. Suitability 35. Composite 45.0. Third-line consideration. Race dependent.
Perf 63/100. Suitability 18. Composite 38.4. Third-line consideration. Race dependent.
Perf 0/100. Suitability 42. Composite 16.6. Third-line consideration. Race dependent.
Form and suitability alignment decisive at 400m
No pronounced trap bias identified
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aero Espresso | 37 | 64 | Closer |
2Droopys Assertiv | 48 | 81 | Closer |
3Swift Fly | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4King Floyd | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Silver Sands | 58 | 31 | Fader |
6Move Over Harry | 52 | 36 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.