Conans Jade is the clear first call in this six-runner A12 on every available measure. She tops the model's rating by seven points — that kind of gap in a six-runner field is meaningful — and leads on recent race pace. From T1, the best draw on this tight four-bend circuit, she gets the shortest route through every bend and should be up with the early pace from the first turn. Form P49→P46→P47→P50→P28→P39 shows a cluster of 46-50s across the four most recent starts — consistent and reliable at this grade level. The P28 is an older outlier and does not undermine the recent form narrative. A clear call based on model leadership, pace leadership and the best draw on the track.