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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Maybe Sydneyd 3y 7 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R321 W58 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 54 | 39 (5) | 83 (1) | 62 (4) | 57 (3) | 85 (1) | 81 (1) | 67 (2) | 85 (1) | 38 (5) | 45 (3) | 54 | 47 | 53 | 57 | 69 | 57 | 2 | 8/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Ivy Hill Stellab 2y 5 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W96 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 51 | 50 (5) | 85 (1) | 85 (1) | 72 (2) | 51 (5) | 87 (1) | 72 (2) | 75 (2) | 68 (2) | 51 (2) | 73 | 66 | 43 | 69 | 72 | 61 | 1 | 5/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Farney Millieb 2y 42 | L B Pruhs — 14% R116 W16 P68 Trainer form — last 3 months | 21 | 50 | 54 (6) | 48 (5) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 66 (3) | 79 (2) | 53 (6) | 79 (3) | 81 (2) | 76 (3) | 27 | - | - | - | 72 | 20 | 5 | 4/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Swift Kevd 2y 39 | S Watson — 30% R421 W127 P298 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 54 | 62 (1) | 66 (3) | 70 (4) | 55 (6) | 82 (2) | 70 (2) | 63 (3) | 77 (2) | 86 (1) | 98 (1) | 35 | 69 | - | - | 71 | 49 | 4 | 7/4F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Foxwood Carterd 3y 25 | R J Overton — 18% R318 W57 P192 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 48 | 72 (4) | 78 (3) | 56 (5) | 85 (1) | 64 (3) | 66 (4) | 57 (5) | 79 (2) | 69 (3) | 87 (1) | 37 | 52 | 52 | 37 | 70 | 54 | 3 | 9/4 | ||
Won here just last Monday at A2 483m with a strong performance rating of 85 — the best form figure in this field at this grade and distance. Three wins from nine course-and-distance starts shows consistent ability here and the trainer carries a 30% win rate which is a meaningful edge at this level. As a Closer she is ideally suited to the 483 metre trip at Doncaster where finishers thrive. The trap 2 draw is below average for A2 — trap 1 would be preferred — but the combination of top ratings, recent win, trainer form, and proven C&D record stacks strongly. At a venue where the model is highly reliable, this is the pick.
57% C&D win rate and best draw — the main danger and could easily reverse the ratings.
No 483m C&D form, slow trial — too many unknowns to consider at this grade.
Worst draw and no proven 483m form here — structural disadvantages too significant today.
Workable C&D record and decent speed — possible place contender but the top two are ahead.
Composite R1 wins 25.3% at A2. Composite R1 + trainer 30%+ stacks to 26.6% win. T1 best draw 31.5%, T5 worst at 14.3%.
T1:31.5% T2:19.2% T3:19.7% T4:18.6% T5:14.3% T6:20.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Maybe Sydney | 87 | 0 | Fader |
2Ivy Hill Stella | 25 | 100 | Closer |
4Farney Millie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Swift Kev | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Foxwood Carter | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.