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ROMFORD FRIDAY NIGHT 500 STAYERS - HEAT 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Pepinillod 3y 24 | R Taberner — 20% R685 W136 P401 Trainer form — last 3 months | 67 | 80 | 74 (4) | 67 (4) | 63 (4) | 92 (3) | 87 (2) | 66 (4) | 56 (5) | 68 (3) | 67 (6) | 80 (4) | 23 | 27 | - | 25 | 72 | 56 | 2 | 11/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Don Cicid 1y 36 | D Mullins — 16% R353 W58 P209 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 66 | 100 (1) | 83 (2) | 71 (3) | 64 (4) | 69 (3) | 77 (3) | 61 (4) | 61 (2) | 63 (4) | 73 (3) | 1 | 36 | - | 30 | 76 | 42 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Hollys Belleb 1y 16 | P W Young — 18% R1293 W239 P759 Trainer form — last 3 months | 39 | 46 | 75 (5) | 100 (1) | 82 (3) | 65 (6) | 84 (3) | 100 (2) | 92 (1) | 70 (1) | 55 (5) | 54 (1) | 48 | 35 | 17 | 31 | 81 | 51 | 5 | 12/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Crossfield Rogerd 2y 26 | P W Young — 18% R1293 W239 P759 Trainer form — last 3 months | 28 | 22 | 62 (5) | 85 (3) | 79 (4) | 71 (4) | 81 (2) | 64 (5) | 88 (3) | 52 (6) | 71 (2) | 100 (1) | 16 | 24 | 8 | 21 | 74 | 37 | 6 | 33/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Bacon Frazzlesb 3y 25 | P D Burr — 19% R250 W47 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 46 | 92 (2) | 75 (5) | 92 (2) | 99 (1) | 100 (1) | 85 (3) | 77 (3) | 81 (3) | 100 (5) | - | 32 | 44 | 26 | 40 | 89 | 57 | 4 | 5/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Aayamza Legendd 2y 16 | J G Mullins — 19% R126 W24 P76 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 59 | 85 (2) | 100 (1) | 64 (5) | 100 (1) | 70 (6) | 93 (2) | 79 (2) | 100 (4) | 69 (1) | - | 25 | 54 | 32 | 53 | 85 | 60 | 1 | 8/11F | ||
The best dog in the race by a comfortable margin on raw performance. An avgP of 89 is the highest in the field, 4 points clear of the next-best (Aayamza Legend at 85) and a staggering 13-17 points above the inside-drawn runners. The form sequence of P92-P75-P92-P99-P100-P85 at OR and OR3 575m level shows a dog who consistently performs at elite level over this trip. The Closer profile is an asset at 575m where the staying trip gives time to close late. Track suitability of 44 and distance suitability of 40 confirm meaningful C&D experience. The major drawback is the T5 draw — the worst at 575m Romford at just 9.43% — which means she has to overcome a genuine structural handicap. But a 13-point avgP advantage is the kind of gap that overrides draw bias. Trainer P D Burr at 14% is modest but the dog's ability speaks for itself.
Composite R1 with avgP 85 and C&D form — the clear each-way threat if the pick encounters trouble from wide
Best draw plus speed and bend R1 but Fader profile at 575m and avgP 72 cap his ceiling
C&D winner last week from best draw but avgP 76 is well below the best in the field
Solid Closer but mid-field speed ratings and T3 draw leave her chasing the better-credentialed runners
Bottom of the field on most metrics with a poor draw — hard to see him featuring
T5 is the worst draw at 9.43% but performance gaps of 13+ points can override structural bias — the question is whether raw class compensates for losing ground on every bend
T1:22.2% T2:23.08% T3:17.0% T4:13.0% T5:9.43% T6:15.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 575m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aero Pepinillo | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Don Cici | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Hollys Belle | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Crossfield Roger | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Bacon Frazzles | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Aayamza Legend | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.