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Star Sports 435m Maiden
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Alfies Jetd 2y 17 | J L Smith — 23% R83 W19 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 21 | 0 | 64 (1) | 35 (5) | 65 (1) | 45 (3) | 38 (6) | 50 (5) | 61 (4) | 54 (5) | 59 (5) | 100 (1) | 29 | 14 | 14 | 36 | 54 | 17 | 5 | 33/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Longacres Smokeb 2y 26 | J L Smith — 23% R83 W19 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 100 | 54 (6) | 61 (6) | 75 (4) | 55 (3) | 81 (3) | 73 (3) | 86 (1) | 76 (4) | 49 (3) | 80 (4) | 18 | - | - | - | 67 | 36 | 4 | 20/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ King Pauld 2y 24 | G Walker — 16% R58 W9 P36 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 0 | 87 (1) | 48 (5) | 61 (4) | 69 (3) | 78 (1) | 58 (3) | 75 (1) | 39 (6) | 63 (2) | 57 (3) | 3 | 11 | - | 33 | 66 | 34 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Slingshot Frankyd 2y 36 | G A Foot — 22% R288 W64 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 100 | 93 (1) | 67 (4) | 52 (6) | 89 (1) | 77 (3) | 64 (4) | 88 (1) | 67 (3) | 87 (1) | 69 (4) | 18 | - | - | - | 76 | 24 | 2 | 5/6F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Inclement Queenb 2y 27 | R Knights — 19% R16 W3 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 77 (2) | 87 (2) | 89 (2) | 87 (2) | 79 (2) | 81 (2) | 100 (1) | 47 (1) | 79 (2) | 87 (2) | 60 | 71 | 68 | - | 84 | 58 | 1 | 6/5 | - | |
The composite model's standout selection in this five-runner field by a margin of 22 points, combining a performance rating of 84 with outstanding track and class suitability figures of 71 and 68 respectively. Six consecutive runs in the 77-to-89 performance band confirm she is a reliable, high-level performer at this grade. The significant caveat is a distance suitability figure of zero, meaning she has no recorded form at 435 metres here, having operated mainly over 245 metres in recent outings. If she handles the step up in trip she is the one to beat on model terms; if the distance is beyond her at Star Pelaw the race is wide open. Speculative given the trip uncertainty but the quality advantage is not in doubt.
Class above this field if that A1 win is genuine. The distance and draw are both negatives but the latent ability is a genuine threat.
Won at A3 last week at this trip so the class relief is real. Model has him third but the recency of the win keeps him in play.
Has older form at 435m but recent activity all at shorter. Too much uncertainty without recent evidence at this trip.
A7 winner stepping up to OR — the class gap makes this a very difficult task.
T1 dominates OR 435m at 26.5% but no T1 runner today. T2 worst at 15.7%. Composite R1 wins 30.4% — stronger model signal than at graded races here. T6 is a poor draw at 13.2% but the quality gap may override the structural disadvantage.
T1:26.5% T2:15.7% T3:18.1% T4:19.2% T5:12.1% T6:13.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Alfies Jet | 57 | 30 | Fader |
3Longacres Smoke | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4King Paul | 43 | 70 | Closer |
5Slingshot Franky | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Inclement Queen | — | — | No data |
Only runs at exactly 435m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (435m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 220m | 245m | 275m | 388m | 435m | 480m | 630m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alfies Jet | 0.628 | — | 0.639 | 0.640 | 0.623 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Longacres Smoke | — | 0.622 | — | — | — | 0.609 | 0.620 | 0.646 |
| 4 | King Paul | — | — | — | — | 0.609 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Slingshot Franky | — | — | — | — | — | 0.604 | — | — |
| 6 | Inclement Queen | — | 0.599 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.