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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tanny Jezabelleb 3yN/R 9 | K C Robins — 38% R13 W5 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 55 | 59 (1) | 57 (1) | 42 (2) | 17 (2) | 14 (5) | 69 (2) | 74 (1) | 69 (1) | 65 (2) | 60 (2) | 28 | 54 | - | 60 | 50 | 52 | - | - | ||
| 2 | ▶ Goulane Aceb 4y 45 | S A Birks — 16% R216 W35 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | 0 | 0 | 61 (4) | 66 (2) | 61 (2) | 26 (5) | 76 (1) | 29 (5) | 29 (3) | 28 (3) | 37 (1) | 57 (2) | 33 | 30 | - | - | 51 | 2 | 4 | 10/3 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Franco Eveb 3y 6 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R321 W58 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 48 | 52 (2) | 49 (2) | 45 (4) | 44 (3) | 38 (4) | 34 (5) | 40 (5) | 28 (5) | 31 (5) | - | 13 | 21 | - | 21 | 43 | 44 | 1 | 15/8 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Keady Stormd 2y 17 | E Gowler — 25% R55 W14 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 52 | 41 (3) | 44 (3) | 59 (1) | 55 (2) | 59 (1) | 16 (2) | 13 (5) | 46 (4) | 51 (4) | 85 (2) | 45 | 39 | - | 37 | 46 | 49 | 2 | 5/4F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Skytrainb 4yN/R 24 | P J Manley — 25% R57 W14 P42 Trainer form — last 3 months | 16 | 49 | 26 (3) | 31 (1) | 31 (1) | 31 (1) | 11 (3) | 13 (6) | 59 (3) | 62 (3) | 55 (1) | - | 24 | 37 | - | - | 32 | 20 | - | - | ||
| 6 | ▶ Splitting Hairsb 3y 16 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R321 W58 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 52 | 35 (5) | 52 (2) | 37 (4) | 46 (3) | 59 (1) | 16 (2) | 59 (1) | 58 (1) | 46 (2) | 44 (3) | 42 | 41 | - | 40 | 44 | 46 | 3 | 7/2 | ||
Tanny Jezabelle is the pick with four factors stacking on the same dog. She leads the composite ratings in the race, is drawn in trap 1 which is the best structural draw at B3 with 23.62% from 309 runs, trainer K C Robins carries a solid win rate, and she won her last start at B5 over this distance in a performance that brought up a 59-rated figure. The step up to B3 is stiffer competition, but the 52-point composite rating gives her a 3-point edge over the second-ranked dog and that margin, combined with the draw advantage, makes the case. She has a high early pace rating and will race prominently from the inside, making the most of trap 1's structural advantage. K C Robins also runs Hugo Jezabelle on the card today, suggesting the yard is in good order.
Composite second with consistent B3 course form — clear danger to the pick.
Strong performance average but model has zero confidence at this track-distance — unreadable, treat as unknown.
Speed leader but Fader in the worst trap — likely to lead and fade over 450m.
Major step up in class and distance from sprint-grade racing — very hard to back here.
Strong draw and early pace — each-way contender at the right price behind the top two.
T1 leads at 23.62% from 309 runs, T6 close at 23.19% from 276 runs. Composite R1 wins 24.62%. Speed R1 wins 27.37%. Inside and outside draws both favoured at B3 450m.
T1:23.62% T2:20.15% T3:17.94% T4:21.19% T5:21.1% T6:23.19%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tanny Jezabelle | 79 | 100 | All-Rounder |
2Goulane Ace | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Franco Eve | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Keady Storm | 21 | 0 | Fader |
5Skytrain | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Splitting Hairs | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.