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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Chelms Charmerd 3y 16 | C R Morris — 28% R287 W80 P192 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 36 | 90 (1) | 68 (3) | 61 (4) | 71 (4) | 79 (4) | 55 (5) | 61 (3) | 63 (5) | 97 (1) | 98 (1) | 44 | 59 | 59 | 44 | 73 | 43 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Outdoor Crackerd 3y 14 | E G Samuels — 16% R645 W105 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 33 | 94 (1) | 73 (2) | 75 (3) | 75 (2) | 75 (3) | 76 (3) | 100 (2) | - | - | - | 48 | 62 | 41 | 41 | 81 | 45 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Trumpers Bobcatd 3y 25 | K J Cobbold — 27% R172 W46 P112 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 59 | 97 (1) | 74 (3) | 60 (5) | 94 (1) | 77 (2) | 92 (1) | 77 (1) | 52 (2) | 89 (5) | - | 66 | 56 | 65 | 58 | 80 | 54 | 3 | 5/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Good Extrad 3y 16 | E G Samuels — 16% R645 W105 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 50 | 81 (2) | 69 (1) | 94 (1) | 66 (3) | 81 (2) | 69 (4) | 75 (2) | 61 (4) | 93 (1) | 60 (5) | 42 | 36 | 30 | 45 | 76 | 42 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Backing It Upd 2y 27 | E G Samuels — 16% R645 W105 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 57 | 95 (1) | 70 (4) | 53 (5) | 89 (2) | 92 (1) | 74 (3) | 91 (1) | 95 (3) | 93 (1) | - | 23 | 42 | 48 | 51 | 82 | 43 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
Carries the highest performance rating in the race at 82 and has course and distance form at A1 level — a genuine rival on the merits. However, the composite score of 43 places this dog fourth in the race, and the trap 5 draw returns the worst historical win rate at A1 Yarmouth at just 17%. The wider starting position means a longer route to the first bend, which at 462m is less damaging than at shorter trips but still a structural disadvantage. On pure form, this dog runs with the best of them, but the draw and composite rank make it a clear second pick tonight.
Composite R1 + Speed R1 + best draw = full model convergence. Strong confidence warranted.
Second in composite and performance — place candidate.
Weak draw and below-par composite limit the case.
Lowest composite in the race — needs big improvement to feature.
Trumpers Bobcat holds Composite R1 at 54 with a 9-point lead over the field, sits in the best structural trap at A1, and brings Speed R1 advantage. Model is clear. Strong confidence warranted at Tier 1 venue.
T1:18.9% T2:21.0% T3:22.2% T4:18.1% T5:17.0% T6:19.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Chelms Charmer | 50 | 0 | All-Rounder |
2Outdoor Cracker | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Trumpers Bobcat | 62 | 23 | Fader |
4Good Extra | 43 | 59 | Closer |
5Backing It Up | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 462m | 500m | 575m | 659m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelms Charmer | 0.628 | 0.605 | 0.592 | 0.624 | — |
| 2 | Outdoor Cracker | — | 0.604 | — | — | 0.618 |
| 3 | Trumpers Bobcat | — | 0.608 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Good Extra | — | 0.609 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Backing It Up | — | 0.607 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.