Riot Co Martin is the stand-out pick in this tight sprint field. Recent form shows solid three from eight over course and distance, with a winning effort just over a week ago demonstrating genuine class. As a Fader, early pace is crucial on the 260m trip, and the dog's recent position in opening stages suggests that sharp early exit is intact. From trap six, there's room to access that early pace, and if the dog breaks cleanly and reaches the front through the first bend, the 260m distance means there's no time for others to close. The numbers suggest this runner has the edge.