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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Favourite Placeb 4y 15 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 37 (3) | 33 (4) | 38 (2) | 40 (3) | 30 (5) | 39 (3) | 47 (4) | 41 (1) | 47 (3) | - | 59 | 52 | 62 | 66 | 39 | 46 | 3 | 5/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Slaine Lunab 3y 17 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 38 (2) | 42 (1) | 42 (1) | 29 (4) | 33 (3) | 42 (1) | 37 (1) | 35 (3) | 32 (3) | 24 (4) | 30 | 35 | - | 39 | 34 | 34 | 5 | 25/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Baby Reindeerd 3yN/R 14 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 100 | 85 (1) | 69 (2) | 51 (5) | 57 (4) | 43 (5) | 23 (5) | 100 (1) | 56 (2) | 60 (1) | - | 82 | 71 | - | 68 | 58 | 63 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Flashing Styleb 1y 17 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 0 | 37 (4) | 43 (1) | 42 (1) | 40 (3) | 38 (2) | 41 (3) | 40 (2) | 47 (2) | 28 (1) | - | 41 | 65 | 40 | 65 | 47 | 51 | 4 | 7/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Dannys Flyerd 3y 14 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 35 (3) | 26 (4) | 33 (5) | 41 (1) | 34 (2) | 35 (2) | 29 (5) | 16 (5) | 36 (2) | 42 (1) | 51 | 57 | 47 | 61 | 32 | 41 | 2 | 16/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Mustang Miled 3y 8 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 91 (2) | 48 (1) | 44 (2) | 37 (4) | 38 (1) | 37 (3) | 43 (4) | 35 (1) | 41 (3) | - | 65 | 53 | 48 | 57 | 42 | 48 | 1 | 11/8 | |
The clear class act with an average performance of 58 that sits 16 points above anything else in this race — a gulf that's rarely seen even at D1 level. Her form of first, first, fifth, first, first includes four wins from five, with that solitary fifth coming in an anomalous run. She's an explosive front-runner with blistering early pace who should lead from the first stride and never be headed. The fading tendency is the one concern on paper, but at 275 metres the trip is simply too short for the fade to kick in before the line — she's past the post before her stamina runs out. Proven at course and distance with excellent suitability across the board, and her trap suitability of 82 from trap 3 is outstanding. Last run was a trial where she won comfortably, suggesting she's been freshened up for this.
Second-best raw ability, strong trainer and good suitability from the outside — the main danger if Baby Reindeer has an off day.
Outstanding D1 record with rising form but faces a class opponent in Baby Reindeer — solid place prospect.
Three consecutive wins at lower grades but a dead draw and no D1 experience — faces a very stiff test.
Good dog in the wrong race shape — closing profile can't exploit the structural draw advantage at 275m.
D2 winner stepping up with decent suitability but the class gap to the pick is enormous — place at best.
Small sample of 304 total runs makes trap bias less reliable. T4 at 25.9% from 58 runs is the most meaningful dominant trap. T2 is structurally dead at 13.6%. Composite rank breakdown is unreliable due to small samples. The pick is drawn in T3 which is neutral at 18.2% but has the highest trap suitability in the field at 82.
T1:15.2% T2:13.6% T3:18.2% T4:25.9% T5:21.4% T6:37.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.