Has far and away the best speed rating in the field at 64 — the next best is 51 — and is drawn in the best trap at A8 grade, where trap 5 wins a quarter of all races from 209 runs. That speed-plus-draw combination is the strongest structural edge in this race. A Fader with sharp early pace who should be prominent through the first bend and build a lead. His form figures are modest — averaging 47 with a peak of P57 — but in a field where nobody is particularly impressive, the speed advantage from the best draw should prove decisive. Trainer J T Edgar at 20%. The Fader profile is a concern but the speed gap over this field is so large he can afford to idle.