| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Flyhigh Ernied 4y 14 | R Taberner — 21% R752 W155 P427 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 25 (2) | 24 (2) | 23 (5) | 28 (2) | 34 (1) | 30 (1) | 31 (1) | 14 (5) | 16 (6) | 26 (3) | 44 | 36 | 29 | 46 | 26 | 43 | 2 | 11/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Race With Belleb 5y 24 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R624 W120 P349 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 23 (4) | 22 (4) | 15 (6) | 21 (5) | 25 (4) | 33 (1) | 36 (1) | 23 (5) | 31 (1) | 19 (5) | 9 | 24 | 37 | 23 | 24 | 39 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Final Episoded 2y 15 | P A Curtin — 16% R304 W48 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 23 (5) | 26 (5) | 27 (5) | 31 (5) | 38 (2) | 48 (1) | 41 (2) | 37 (4) | - | - | 27 | 24 | - | - | 31 | 38 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Elderberry Lunab 5y 13 | P I Cowdrill — 15% R336 W49 P176 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 21 (3) | 26 (3) | 20 (5) | 23 (5) | 23 (4) | 18 (3) | 17 (5) | 25 (6) | 27 (4) | - | 20 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Pennys Shadowb 5y 14 | P A Curtin — 16% R304 W48 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 24 (3) | 31 (1) | 20 (6) | 24 (2) | 20 (6) | 31 (1) | 22 (4) | 22 (4) | 21 (1) | - | 22 | 30 | 34 | 36 | 24 | 42 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Killimor Canyab 2y 4 | C D Marston — 13% R456 W59 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 29 (2) | 16 (6) | 16 (6) | 19 (5) | 19 (5) | 19 (6) | 23 (3) | 29 (2) | 19 (4) | 24 (3) | 11 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 39 | 1 | 10/1 | - | |
Tied for the top speed rating (52) alongside Pennys Shadow, but suitability scores are the worst on the card across all dimensions: track 7, distance 12, trap 11, class 8. Zero course and distance wins from ten starts. Despite the raw speed figure matching the danger dog, this dog simply does not perform at Monmore 264m — the suitability data confirms historical inability to convert at this track and distance. Recent form of 2nd, 6th, 6th, 5th, 5th shows a declining trajectory. The speed figure is not predictive here and cannot be used as a basis for selection.
Composite R1 from a strong draw with 30% C&D — the most rounded case in this sprint field.
Speed R1 with 30% C&D — the main threat to the selection on pure pace credentials, separated only by the worse structural draw.
Best structural draw but poor trap suitability and consistent out-of-money form — cannot justify selection.
Unproven at 264m — distance suitability of zero means this is a significant unknown.
Worst trap, lowest ratings, zero C&D wins — no path to victory apparent.
Speed rank 1 wins 27.96% at D4 264m — the strongest predictor at this grade and distance. Trap 1 and 2 both above 19%. T4 is the worst draw (14.65%). T6 Killimor Canya shares the top speed figure but has near-zero suitability at this track and distance — the speed figure is not predictive.
T1:19.58% T2:19.94% T3:16.59% T4:14.65% T5:17.66% T6:17.87%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flyhigh Ernie | 0.616 | — |
| 2 | Race With Belle | 0.616 | — |
| 3 | Final Episode | 0.612 | 0.624 |
| 4 | Elderberry Luna | 0.616 | — |
| 5 | Pennys Shadow | 0.613 | — |
| 6 | Killimor Canya | 0.618 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.