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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sovereign Poppyb 3y 17 | J A Knape — 22% R36 W8 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 53 | 49 (5) | 43 (5) | 67 (1) | 59 (2) | 63 (2) | 52 (4) | 61 (1) | 40 (5) | 36 (5) | 36 (4) | 34 | 41 | 26 | 34 | 52 | 47 | 2 | 15/8F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Last Race Tonib 2y 16 | A Welch — 15% R296 W44 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 61 | 32 (6) | 38 (4) | 46 (5) | 58 (2) | 66 (1) | 36 (6) | 68 (1) | 62 (1) | 39 (4) | 44 (4) | 33 | 46 | 41 | 41 | 50 | 42 | 6 | 11/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Runlike Skippyd 2y 9 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 59 | 53 (2) | 45 (4) | 50 (3) | 60 (1) | 62 (1) | 7 (5) | 41 (4) | 54 (2) | 56 (1) | - | 51 | 38 | 12 | 38 | 47 | 46 | 3 | 3/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Savana Moob 4y 16 | A Welch — 15% R296 W44 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 42 | 42 (6) | 42 (5) | 39 (6) | 51 (4) | 39 (6) | 40 (5) | 52 (5) | 61 (3) | 54 (3) | 57 (4) | 34 | - | - | - | 46 | 45 | 5 | 5/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Dreamin Dotb 4y 52 | C L Conley — 12% R49 W6 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | 43 | 82 (4) | 77 (4) | 58 (4) | 57 (4) | 58 (6) | 75 (3) | 78 (1) | 79 (1) | 67 (3) | 77 (2) | 30 | - | - | 5 | 71 | 42 | 1 | 5/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Blue Sensationd 4y 34 | P J Dolby — 16% R51 W8 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 32 | 49 (6) | 67 (4) | 53 (4) | 60 (2) | 65 (1) | 41 (5) | 40 (4) | 40 (5) | 35 (6) | 65 (1) | 44 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 53 | 43 | 4 | 11/1 | ||
Arrives from open-race company over 650 metres — a completely different class and distance from the rest of this A6 field. The speed rating here is the highest in the field by a distance, and the performance average of 71 puts her around 19 points clear of the next best runner on recent form. Has not raced since late March but has been trialling specifically at 500 metres in the intervening weeks — clocking 30.16 seconds on 25 April and 30.56 on 13 May, confirming fitness and readiness. The class drop from open-race graded competition to A6 is dramatic, and when a dog is that far above the opposition in ability, structural draw concerns become secondary. The worry is the dead trap 5 draw at A6, but the form gap is simply too large to oppose. A Closer by profile who will be finishing hard through the final 150 metres.
Consistent A5-A6 form, decent draw, best-placed danger if the favourite disappoints.
Regular A6 runner, sharp into the bend, but form not good enough to win.
Consistent at best but structural dead draw and volatile form are concerns.
Best structural draw but weakest form — speculative place hope only.
Distance switch and poor last run make this a difficult selection to consider.
A6 grade: T4 best (22.6%), T3 and T5 weakest (~16%). Speed R1 at A6 wins 28.4% (408 runs) — strongest signal for this grade. Dreamin Dot is Speed R1 by an exceptional margin.
T1:21.7% T2:20.5% T3:16.3% T4:22.6% T5:16.0% T6:19.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Sovereign Poppy | 55 | 28 | Fader |
2Last Race Toni | 62 | 0 | Fader |
3Runlike Skippy | 61 | 7 | Fader |
4Savana Moo | 45 | 72 | Closer |
5Dreamin Dot | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Blue Sensation | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.