Moaning Noosa is a specialist at Harlow 415m in the most literal sense. Her distance suitability of 70 represents the highest C&D win concentration in the field by 20 points — she simply wins this race at a rate that puts her in a different category to the competition regardless of starting position. Her average performance of 63 leads the field by 14 points and her composite of 50 is the joint-highest. The draw argument against her — trap one is below average at A6 415m where trap six dominates at 28.4% — is real but she is the kind of runner for whom the draw is a marginal consideration. A dog that wins 70% of its C&D race types has demonstrated she can win from any position at this course and distance, and she has a level of ability that goes beyond what the draw data can negate.