| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ivys Hollyb 2y 17 | D T Smith — 17% R418 W70 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 80 (1) | 40 (6) | 61 (3) | 30 (6) | 79 (3) | 81 (1) | 54 (5) | 19 (2) | 51 (3) | - | 31 | 38 | 32 | 33 | 57 | 44 | 2 | 9/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Malaika Queenb 3y 11 | J R Hall — 20% R362 W72 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 37 (1) | 76 (1) | 50 (6) | 73 (1) | 60 (2) | 67 (1) | 54 (3) | 46 (4) | 50 (4) | 71 (1) | 37 | 46 | - | 55 | 62 | 53 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Yellowd 1y 7 | P A Holder — 14% R146 W20 P72 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 39 | 77 (1) | 71 (1) | 64 (2) | 56 (3) | 51 (4) | 37 (6) | 62 (3) | - | - | - | 19 | 21 | - | 41 | 63 | 49 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Catunda Fayeb 2y 26 | K S Harrison — 18% R373 W69 P209 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 28 | 57 (4) | 65 (3) | 45 (6) | 45 (5) | 61 (3) | 59 (4) | 52 (5) | 53 (6) | 62 (4) | 82 (1) | 29 | 33 | 28 | 9 | 57 | 45 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Moulton Mickeyb 1y | M T Field — 21% R247 W51 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mid Tipp Goosed 2y 7 | S W Deakin — 14% R558 W80 P258 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 50 | 63 (3) | 76 (1) | 70 (1) | 39 (5) | 62 (2) | 53 (4) | 67 (2) | 53 (3) | 42 (5) | 47 (4) | 32 | 33 | - | 38 | 60 | 46 | 6 | 20/1 | - | |
An unusual selection — all form comes from OR3 open-race meetings over 480-500 metres at other venues, including a third and fourth at OR3 level before this A3 Dunstall entry. OR3 grade represents competitive open-track racing which tests dogs against ungraded opposition — it is not a straightforward comparison with A3 BAGS racing but it does show a dog who competes at a decent level. The model identifies her as speed rank 1 in this field at 60 — the fastest dog on speed measures — and XGB models weight raw speed highly at A3 level where margins are small. Composite 45 places her third in the field. Trap 4 carries a 17% record at A3 480 metres — below average. The model sees through the OR3 context to identify a dog whose speed profile is superior to the rest, and at a tight A3 grade where the margins between runners are small, that speed advantage may be decisive.
Best trap, composite leader, highest avgP, improving trajectory. The form case is overwhelming. The principal danger to Catunda Faye.
Good trap and previous A3 win at Dunstall. But regression in A2 leaves questions about whether she can return to A3 winning form.
Excellent form but worst trap on the card at this grade. A9.4% trap win rate cannot be overcome by form alone. Reluctantly passed over despite quality.
No form data. Too unknown to support in a field of proven A3 and A4 winners.
Shown A3 ability at this track — two A3 thirds — but consistently placed without winning. Below-average trap. Better than speculative, but likely another placing.
Trap 2 best at A3 480m Dunstall at 22.5%, trap 1 also strong at 21.6%. Trap 3 catastrophic at only 9.4% — the worst performing box across all A-grade 480m races on the card. Composite rank 1 wins 19.8%.
T1:21.6% T2:22.5% T3:9.4% T4:17.0% T5:15.8% T6:14.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ivys Holly | 33 | 80 | Closer |
2Malaika Queen | 63 | 0 | Fader |
3Swift Yellow | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Catunda Faye | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Moulton Mickey | — | — | No data |
6Mid Tipp Goose | 61 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 270m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivys Holly | 0.645 | — | 0.611 | 0.614 |
| 2 | Malaika Queen | — | 0.597 | 0.609 | — |
| 3 | Swift Yellow | — | — | 0.608 | — |
| 4 | Catunda Faye | — | — | 0.604 | 0.620 |
| 5 | Moulton Mickey | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Mid Tipp Goose | — | — | 0.610 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.