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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Meganb 1y 3 | R Taberner — 20% R691 W138 P404 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 50 | 42 (2) | 23 (6) | 27 (5) | 21 (6) | 31 (4) | 48 (1) | 31 (3) | 21 (6) | - | - | 14 | 17 | 23 | 18 | 31 | 45 | 4 | 11/8F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Swift Systemb 1y | A K Jenkins — 16% R188 W31 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | 12 | 38 | 20 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 5 | - | - | 20 | 12 | 6 | 14/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Winnie Marieb 3y 5 | J B Thompson — 18% R499 W90 P273 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 44 | 51 (1) | 40 (5) | 32 (2) | 31 (3) | 35 (5) | 33 (4) | 38 (5) | 44 (3) | 42 (3) | - | 41 | 31 | 24 | 20 | 37 | 52 | 2 | 2/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Mezmerizeb 2y 15 | P A Curtin — 17% R294 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 53 | 28 (5) | 43 (2) | 36 (3) | 38 (2) | 33 (4) | 48 (1) | 33 (4) | 36 (3) | 31 (5) | 43 (3) | 38 | 27 | 42 | 33 | 39 | 52 | 1 | 11/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Aero Sonnyd 1y 14 | R Taberner — 20% R691 W138 P404 Trainer form — last 3 months | 33 | 50 | 19 (6) | 25 (5) | 47 (1) | 25 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 28 | 20 | 23 | 32 | 31 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Brynoffa Poshb 2y 16 | J M Walton — 21% R232 W49 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 54 | 30 (3) | 27 (5) | 48 (1) | 40 (2) | 36 (4) | 36 (4) | 48 (1) | 28 (5) | 36 (3) | 28 (5) | 13 | 35 | 36 | 33 | 37 | 41 | 3 | 20/1 | ||
The pick on the combination of three converging metrics: best average performance in the field at 39, tied-best speed at 57, and the best first-bend rating among the pace-capable runners at 53. As an All-Rounder she balances early effort with sustained pace through the race, which suits the 480m trip at Monmore better than a pure early-burner or a late-only closer. Most importantly, she ran second from the less favourable T5 just five days ago — current form and fitness are confirmed. Moving to T4 today improves her structural draw from 13.7% to 18.4% and shortens the path to the first bend. A trap suitability of 38 indicates reasonable historical fit from this box. The worry is the closeness of the form: Winnie Marie matches her on speed and Aero Megan offers the better draw. This is a genuinely open race that warrants Speculative confidence, but Mezmerize has the most complete profile.
Matches on speed and has strong closing ability — a genuine danger if the Closer profile can operate from a weak draw.
Best draw and recent second, but pace deficit makes it hard to hold off faster rivals.
Decent ratings but a two-month layoff makes it impossible to assess current wellbeing against in-form rivals.
Lowest speed, worst trap suitability, worst structural draw — the most disadvantaged runner in the race.
Speed and performance data are far below competitive level — a non-factor in this race.
T1 best structural draw at 21.6%, T5 worst at 13.7%. Speed rating and first-bend efficiency lead selection at A10. Mezmerize and Winnie Marie tied on speed — bend rating and draw separate them.
T1:21.6% T2:17.3% T3:16.5% T4:18.4% T5:13.7% T6:16.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aero Megan | 49 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2Swift System | 43 | 34 | Fader |
3Winnie Marie | 45 | 76 | Closer |
4Mezmerize | 52 | 53 | All-Rounder |
5Aero Sonny | 51 | 27 | All-Rounder |
6Brynoffa Posh | 53 | 53 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.