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ARC Novice Stayers Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Slippy Janeb 4y 33 | S Maplesden — 17% R271 W46 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 40 | 50 (4) | 60 (2) | 58 (3) | 71 (1) | 66 (1) | 56 (2) | 62 (3) | 45 (1) | 51 (4) | - | 27 | - | - | - | 58 | 41 | 4 | 20/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Early Stormb 2y 35 | D W Lee — 20% R229 W46 P119 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | - | 69 (1) | 63 (3) | 54 (3) | 90 (1) | 54 (4) | 46 (5) | 58 (3) | 60 (2) | 41 (6) | - | - | 25 | 20 | - | 62 | 34 | 1 | 4/9F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Shesasassylassyb 3y 26 | A Herbert — 15% R65 W10 P34 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 87 | 54 (5) | 76 (1) | 33 (5) | 39 (6) | 57 (5) | 63 (3) | 86 (1) | 87 (1) | 49 (5) | 75 (3) | 41 | - | 30 | - | 59 | 40 | 3 | 3/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Sly Big Birdb 2y 33 | S Maplesden — 17% R271 W46 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | 68 | 56 | 69 (3) | 46 (5) | 52 (4) | 52 (4) | 62 (4) | 71 (2) | 59 (5) | 78 (1) | 73 (1) | 64 (3) | 16 | - | - | - | 60 | 31 | 2 | 12/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Scrahan Splashb 2y 33 | M L Locke — 22% R286 W63 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | 8 | 60 | 43 (6) | 54 (5) | 51 (5) | 36 (6) | 34 (6) | 49 (4) | 42 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 45 | 16 | 5 | 10/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Charityb 2y 16 | R M Emery — 10% R115 W11 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | 0 | 0 | 58 (5) | 78 (3) | 77 (3) | 73 (4) | 54 (6) | 58 (6) | 63 (4) | 77 (4) | 83 (3) | 63 (6) | 11 | - | 10 | - | 68 | 39 | 6 | 11/1 | ||
The only proven marathon runner in the field with seven starts over course and distance — nobody else has raced 664 metres here more than once. She has not won from those seven attempts, which is the obvious concern, but she has placed in her last two starts over this trip and was unlucky last time when badly crowded at the fourth bend, beaten just three and three-quarter lengths. She finishes her races strongly and at marathon distance that closing kick is worth more than at any other trip. The classiest in the field on recent form by a clear margin and proven at the distance where everyone else is guessing. If she gets a clear run, this is the night.
Best trap and decent speed — the main danger from a structural standpoint.
Wrong distance, wrong track profile — hard to fancy.
Strong finisher but trapped on the wrong side and unproven at the trip.
Sharp into the bend but fades too badly to last the trip.
Outclassed and struggling for form — hard to see any angle.
T4 dominant at 21.57% from 294 runs, T2 catastrophic at 9.26%. Marathon OR is low-sample but trap 4 clearly best.
T1:16.3% T2:9.3% T3:17.0% T4:21.6% T5:17.3% T6:18.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 664m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Slippy Jane | 44 | 0 | Fader |
2Early Storm | 46 | 100 | Closer |
3Shesasassylassy | 65 | 0 | Fader |
4Sly Big Bird | 54 | 0 | All-Rounder |
5Scrahan Splash | 55 | 100 | All-Rounder |
6Charity | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.