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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dels Graceb 2y 24 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 21 (5) | 26 (5) | 29 (3) | 24 (2) | 23 (2) | 23 (3) | 18 (2) | 24 (5) | 17 (3) | - | 38 | 35 | 31 | 32 | 55 | 46 | 3 | 11/10F | |
| 2 | ▶ Quivers Sonnyd 3y 16 | J A Danahar — 18% R312 W55 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | - | 17 (5) | 40 (6) | 29 (5) | 51 (6) | 21 (3) | 20 (3) | 19 (5) | 15 (5) | 16 (6) | - | 18 | 18 | 9 | 25 | 51 | 37 | 6 | 16/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tagalong Jessb 3y 5 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 15 (6) | 12 (6) | 18 (6) | 16 (5) | 15 (6) | 20 (3) | 25 (3) | 28 (1) | 20 (3) | 27 (2) | 25 | 24 | - | 23 | 52 | 40 | 2 | 15/8 | |
| 4 | ▶ Leahs Mollyb 4y 25 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 16 (6) | 27 (4) | 25 (2) | 21 (3) | 18 (4) | 24 (4) | 25 (2) | 29 (3) | 30 (2) | - | 31 | 32 | 45 | 33 | 56 | 45 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Blue Smurfd 5y 35 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 13 (5) | 25 (5) | 29 (2) | 22 (1) | 16 (5) | 27 (6) | 24 (2) | 28 (3) | 37 (3) | - | 25 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 58 | 45 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballygibba Livb 4y 25 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | - | 15 (4) | 27 (1) | 19 (5) | 23 (2) | 19 (5) | 12 (6) | 23 (3) | 27 (1) | 23 (2) | 21 (2) | - | 33 | - | 33 | 54 | 45 | 5 | 14/1 | |
Rated 58 on performance (ranked 3/6) with composite 45. Model consensus: 4 first places, 6 top-2 across 6 models. Suitability: track 33, distance 33, trap 25, class 40 (mean 33). Speed rating 56 (ranked 2/6). Historically, speed rank 2 wins 21.8% in D5 260m. Trainer A N J Morgan: 15% overall WR (none). At Valley D5 260m: 20% (155 runs). T5 wins 23.5% in D5 260m (213 runs) — strong draw. Composite rank 3 wins 17.3% in these conditions (255 runs). Proven at D1 level (4 grades above current) — significant talent advantage.
Danger dog — 38 points behind pick on multi-factor score. leads 2 models. could upset if pace scenario favours.
Ranked 1/6 on composite, 1 top-2 model finishes. needs improvement to feature.
Ranked 6/6 on composite, 0 top-2 model finishes. needs improvement to feature.
Ranked 2/6 on composite, 2 top-2 model finishes. needs improvement to feature.
Ranked 4/6 on composite, 0 top-2 model finishes. needs improvement to feature. good draw helps.
Composite rank 1 wins 26.2% (dominant). Best trap: T6 at 27.6%. Favourite wins 35.4%.
T6:27.6% T5:23.5% T2:21.2% T1:17.4% T3:15.7% T4:14.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.