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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Old Fort Lakotab 3y 27 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R714 W146 P380 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 50 | 24 (3) | 32 (3) | 54 (4) | 76 (1) | 40 (1) | 61 (3) | 34 (1) | 70 (4) | 57 (6) | - | 70 | 61 | - | - | 73 | 70 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Blitz Hurricaneb 3y 27 | J J Gornall — 18% R72 W13 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 53 | 59 (1) | 45 (4) | 44 (4) | 42 (3) | 75 (3) | 57 (4) | 48 (5) | 58 (3) | 78 (1) | 64 (3) | 32 | 33 | 36 | 33 | 67 | 51 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Indian Floydb 3y 36 | J J Gornall — 18% R72 W13 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 54 (5) | 74 (5) | 86 (3) | 78 (1) | 67 (2) | 50 (5) | 52 (4) | 79 (1) | 78 (1) | 57 (3) | 42 | 45 | 45 | 44 | 67 | 56 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hi Tontod 3y 4 | D R Jinks — 16% R554 W90 P304 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 33 | 60 (2) | 44 (4) | 48 (5) | 46 (5) | 64 (2) | 50 (5) | 13 (6) | 56 (1) | 46 (3) | - | 31 | 31 | 25 | 32 | 58 | 46 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Baggins Ladd 3y 26 | D R Jinks — 16% R554 W90 P304 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 55 | 64 (2) | 29 (4) | 79 (1) | 38 (1) | 35 (1) | 43 (5) | 57 (3) | 79 (1) | 78 (1) | 63 (2) | 39 | 48 | 40 | 49 | 67 | 57 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
Rated 73 on performance (ranked 1/5) with composite 70. Model consensus: 3 first places, 3 top-2 across 6 models. Suitability: track 61, trap 70 (mean 33). Speed rating 41 (ranked 4/5), first bend 50 (ranked 3/5). Historically, speed rank 4 wins 17.7% in A5 415m. Bend rank 3 wins 17.5%. Fader (EP 100, CS 0, consistency 2). Trainer D R E Ellerker: 22% overall WR (none). T1 wins 17.3% in A5 415m (375 runs) — average draw. High trap suitability (70) — proven at this box. As composite rank 1, historical win rate is 22.1% in these conditions (41.9% place). Upsets are common at this grade. Proven at OR level (12 grades above current) — significant talent advantage.
Danger dog — 3 points behind pick on multi-factor score. leads 2 models. faster on speed rating. could upset if pace scenario favours.
Ranked 3/5 on composite, 2 top-2 model finishes. mid-field contender.
Ranked 5/5 on composite, 0 top-2 model finishes. needs improvement to feature.
Ranked 2/5 on composite, 2 top-2 model finishes. mid-field contender.
Composite rank 1 wins 22.1% (competitive). Best trap: T3 at 21.7%. Favourite wins 25.6%.
T3:21.7% T6:20.9% T4:20.7% T1:17.3% T2:17.1% T5:16.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Old Fort Lakota | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Blitz Hurricane | 50 | 62 | Closer |
4Indian Floyd | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Hi Tonto | 40 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Baggins Lad | 55 | 50 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 415m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (415m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 220m | 238m | 325m | 415m | 460m | 548m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Old Fort Lakota | 0.641 | 0.653 | 0.553 | 0.653 | — | — |
| 3 | Blitz Hurricane | — | — | — | 0.651 | 0.594 | — |
| 4 | Indian Floyd | — | — | — | 0.651 | — | 0.628 |
| 5 | Hi Tonto | — | — | — | 0.660 | — | — |
| 6 | Baggins Lad | — | 0.650 | — | 0.650 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.