| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Ballinulty Jessb 2y 17 | S A Saberton — 23% R398 W91 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 43 | 32 (2) | 55 (3) | 31 (2) | 26 (4) | 39 (1) | 35 (2) | 38 (1) | 25 (5) | 26 (1) | 46 (5) | 19 | 42 | 46 | 49 | 36 | 32 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Essjay Sydd 3y 7 | S A Saberton — 23% R398 W91 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 47 | 38 (1) | 32 (2) | 34 (1) | 24 (3) | 24 (4) | 28 (3) | 29 (2) | 28 (4) | 49 (4) | 41 (5) | 40 | 41 | 34 | 42 | 32 | 35 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Headford Avab 2y 9 | J Pearson — 18% R216 W38 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 50 | 35 (1) | 25 (2) | 36 (2) | 51 (5) | 23 (5) | 75 (1) | 33 (2) | 39 (1) | 32 (2) | 21 (5) | 37 | 33 | 37 | 59 | 37 | 38 | 4 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Royston Rocketd 4y 18 | P Clarke — 14% R495 W69 P259 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 52 (4) | 39 (1) | 28 (3) | 53 (4) | 28 (2) | 49 (5) | 61 (3) | 30 (3) | 28 (4) | 60 (4) | 38 | 42 | 38 | 39 | 43 | 38 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tinas Libertyb 3y 17 | D K Hurlock — 20% R941 W184 P525 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 59 | 57 (3) | 64 (2) | 67 (2) | 72 (1) | 49 (4) | 39 (3) | 66 (1) | 26 (4) | 39 (5) | - | 54 | 54 | 38 | 28 | 57 | 44 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
Drawn in the best structural trap at D3 sprints here — trap 6 wins an extraordinary 28.09% of races from 1,694 runs, well above any other box. This dog also carries the best speed rating in the field, the best bend rating (59), the highest early pace (64), and the highest average performance figure (57). That is a complete sweep of the primary analytical factors, and at a track where all of these converge on one runner, the conclusion is straightforward. A Fader who will lead from the traps and round the first bend perfectly — at 238 metres the race is usually decided in those first few strides, and Tinas Liberty has every advantage there. Recent form has been consistently strong at 57, 64, 67, 72 from previous runs, showing a dog well above D3 standard. Trainer Hurlock at 20% is modest but this dog does not need help from the trainer statistics.
Class from higher grade is the danger — could be slumming it here if adapting well to the sprint distance.
Grade step up from D4 winner — competitive but meeting a dog who appears superior on every metric.
Course and distance form confirmed but Closer pace profile at a sprint is a genuine structural concern.
Course and distance winner but worst structural trap — defending a win from the most disadvantaged box.
T6 dominant at 28.09% from 1,694 D3 238m runs — extraordinary trap bias. T3 worst at 13.77%. Speed and composite rank one win 21-22%. All signals point to same dog.
T1:17.02% T2:17.33% T3:13.77% T4:18.41% T5:16.88% T6:28.09%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 277m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ballinulty Jess | 0.655 | — | 0.665 |
| 3 | Essjay Syd | 0.658 | — | 0.662 |
| 4 | Headford Ava | 0.658 | — | 0.649 |
| 5 | Royston Rocket | 0.658 | — | 0.656 |
| 6 | Tinas Liberty | 0.653 | 0.617 | 0.653 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.