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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Nuclear Textbookd 4y 45 | J J Luckhurst — 15% R283 W43 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 37 | 58 (4) | 72 (3) | 57 (5) | 75 (2) | 68 (3) | 65 (4) | 74 (3) | 71 (3) | 86 (1) | 43 (6) | 37 | 31 | 21 | 25 | 66 | 51 | 2 | 6/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Ask The Wardenb 2y 18 | G Andreas — 18% R284 W50 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 56 | 42 (5) | 51 (5) | 60 (3) | 40 (4) | 68 (2) | 55 (3) | 42 (5) | 53 (5) | 70 (3) | 80 (1) | 55 | 62 | - | 70 | 80 | 71 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Insane Bassd 3y 25 | G Andreas — 18% R284 W50 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 54 | 68 (2) | 70 (2) | 64 (4) | 65 (2) | 66 (3) | 89 (1) | 76 (2) | 50 (6) | 84 (1) | 73 (1) | 43 | 39 | 65 | 34 | 67 | 55 | 3 | 15/8 | |
| 5 | ▶ Silver Trumpetb 4y 24 | R Pattinson — 17% R125 W21 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 44 | 62 (3) | 61 (4) | 57 (4) | 78 (1) | 65 (3) | 53 (4) | 64 (4) | 100 (1) | 62 (4) | 67 (3) | 32 | 37 | - | 31 | 66 | 51 | 4 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Havana Skaterb 4y 24 | B D O'sullivan — 18% R544 W99 P302 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 25 (6) | 62 (2) | 44 (5) | 56 (4) | 74 (1) | 50 (4) | 47 (5) | 53 (3) | 42 (6) | 48 (6) | 38 | 37 | 23 | 33 | 55 | 47 | 5 | 8/1 | |
The most intriguing runner on the card. AP 80 from one stunning debut performance, but the subsequent three runs read 18>18>21 — a catastrophic collapse. Fader (EP 62, bend 56, PC 65). Drawn in the weakest trap (T3: 14.8%). Track suitability 62 and distance suitability 70 are the best in the field by far — outstanding venue knowledge. Class suitability 0 means untested at A2 specifically. The question is binary: was the 80 debut the real Ask The Warden, with the subsequent runs affected by injury or circumstance? Or was the 80 a fluke and 18-21 is the actual level? The suitability scores (track 62, distance 70) suggest this IS a CP specialist. Trainer at 20% is average. The pick is speculative on the assumption that the 80 is the genuine article and the recent poor runs are temporary.
DANGER: The most consistent A2 runner in the field with the best field speed. AP 66 with a floor of 57 means he'll always be competitive. If Ask The Warden fails to reproduce the 80, Nuclear Textbook's reliability makes him the biggest threat.
Outstanding recent form (84, 73, 65) in the best trap, but EP 0 at Central Park's tight 491m is a major structural handicap. If she was drawn T1-T2 with some early pace, she'd be the pick. As it stands, she'll be too far back.
Capable of 80+ performances but the 43 shows extreme inconsistency. The All-Rounder profile is right but you can't trust a dog that swings 40 points between runs.
Honest mid-50s performer who's outclassed. Will set early pace but can't compete with the closers' quality.
T4 best at 21.3%. T3 weakest at 14.8%. Quality field where form matters more than draw.
T1:15.0%(193) T2:19.5%(174) T3:14.8%(142) T4:21.3%(136) T5:16.3%(172) T6:19.1%(209)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Nuclear Textbook | 43 | 100 | Closer |
3Ask The Warden | 62 | 0 | Fader |
4Insane Bass | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Silver Trumpet | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Havana Skater | 57 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.