Has overwhelming pace numbers for a sprint - perfect 100-rated scores for both early pace and first-bend sharpness, the kind of figures that decide 277-metre races. At his best three and four starts back he was running in the seventies and eighties, and the peak of 90 is the highest in the field by six points. The concern is the last two runs - a 26 and a 29 which are well below his ability. At a sprint distance, the Fader tag is less of a concern because the trip is too short for the fade to kick in - he leads and the race is over before the closing stages arrive. Drawn at 13.3% which is poor, and the recent dip needs reversing. But the raw pace advantage at a sprint is a powerful weapon, and if he bounces back to anywhere near his peak he wins this easily.