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Sporting Press Online Edition Irish Oaks Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rapido Ivyb 2y 6 | Peter Cronin — 50% R2 W1 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 52 (2) | 68 (1) | 54 (3) | 51 (4) | 43 (5) | 58 (3) | 55 (2) | 58 (3) | 98 (1) | 75 (2) | 38 | 15 | - | 53 | 58 | 48 | 5 | 10/3 | |
| 2 | ▶ Silent Noelleb 1y 16 | - | - | 53 | - | 69 (1) | 56 (2) | 68 (1) | 45 (5) | 68 (1) | 66 (1) | 57 (2) | 60 (2) | 55 (2) | 52 (3) | 1 | - | - | - | 61 | 45 | 1 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Alloryb 1y 4 | Liam Dowling — 17% R6 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 55 (3) | 45 (4) | 67 (1) | 46 (4) | 50 (4) | 97 (1) | 48 (4) | 50 (3) | 68 (1) | - | - | 15 | - | 30 | 57 | 43 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Lennies Ashb 1y 13 | Paul Hennessy — 20% R5 W1 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 55 (3) | 68 (1) | 66 (1) | 51 (4) | 57 (2) | 53 (3) | 50 (4) | 55 (3) | 70 (1) | 69 (1) | - | - | - | - | 59 | 44 | 2 | 13/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Highview Carolb 2y 16 | Gerry Merriman — 17% R6 W1 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 63 (2) | 67 (1) | 63 (2) | 79 (2) | 84 (2) | 79 (3) | 95 (1) | 76 (3) | 65 (1) | - | 36 | 22 | - | 39 | 72 | 52 | 3 | 14/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballymac Chantryb 2y 16 | Liam Dowling — 17% R6 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 69 (1) | 55 (3) | 55 (3) | 49 (4) | 66 (1) | 52 (4) | 58 (3) | 62 (2) | 47 (5) | 49 (3) | - | - | - | - | 58 | 42 | 6 | 15/8 | |
Silent Noelle is the pick of this AA0 525m field based on the most consistent winning record and best combination of form and adjusted times. She won on May 30 (69-rated, adj 28.15, SP 5/6 from T1) and on May 16 (68-rated, adj 28.34, SP 2/1 from T1), with a second on May 23 (56-rated from T2). Her perf sequence (69, 56, 68, 45, 68, 66, 57, 60, 55, 52) shows solid consistency in the 56-69 range in recent outings. Speed rating of 53 is available. Average perf of 61 is the third highest in this field. Her adjusted time of 28.15 on May 30 is the second fastest in this field after Ballymac Chantry. From trap 2 she draws next to Rapido Ivy on the inside — she should get a clean run and her winning experience from this track and grade makes her the selection. The change from trap 1 (winning draw) to trap 2 is a minor concern but Shelbourne Park is not heavily rail-biased at 525m.
Highest avg perf in field (72) with win and two seconds here — serious danger to Silent Noelle especially if she improves slightly from trap 5 vs recent trap 6 draws.
Fastest adj time in field (28.09 May 30) but represents a spike from usual level (55 perf) — serious danger if repeatable but form outside that one run is modest.
Won here May 23 from trap 1 but 52-rated run May 30 shows vulnerability — danger if Silent Noelle has any trouble from trap 2.
Won here May 16 but 45 and 55-rated efforts since show major inconsistency — hard to trust in a field with more reliable performers.
Two wins here in May but May 30 third (55 perf) is a step back — danger if she bounces from trap 4 but Silent Noelle is more consistent.
Ireland-lab returns no trap/composite breakdown for Shelbourne Park AA0 525m; fastest adjusted times (Chantry 28.09, Noelle 28.15) and recent win records are the primary differentiators.
No trap bias data — ireland-lab returned null for AA0 filter at Shelbourne Park 525m
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.