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Homing Dogs With Home Run Hounds Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Honour Flyerb 3y 5 | A S Mcpherson — 15% R285 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 47 | 55 (5) | 78 (2) | 82 (1) | 72 (2) | 76 (1) | 36 (6) | 56 (2) | 40 (5) | 43 (6) | 17 (4) | 35 | 24 | 17 | 32 | 63 | 52 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ This Is Ezed 3y 17 | F Macklin — 20% R205 W42 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 35 | 87 (1) | 64 (3) | 31 (4) | 51 (4) | 87 (6) | 83 (1) | 61 (1) | 20 (4) | 83 (2) | - | 60 | 30 | - | 30 | 64 | 56 | 2 | 9/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Aislingb 1y 15 | E O Driver — 21% R319 W66 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 40 | 66 (4) | 71 (4) | 79 (3) | 50 (2) | 91 (6) | 87 (1) | 53 (1) | 67 (5) | 83 (4) | - | 54 | 60 | 50 | 48 | 68 | 63 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Asland 5y 35 | J Llewellin — 17% R365 W61 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 60 | 37 (6) | 64 (4) | 74 (2) | 62 (4) | 57 (4) | 65 (3) | 75 (2) | 78 (1) | 59 (3) | 74 (1) | 47 | 49 | 31 | 32 | 62 | 55 | 4 | 10/3 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Satisfyd 4y 28 | L Cook — 17% R130 W22 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 63 | 55 (4) | 40 (5) | 62 (3) | 43 (5) | 62 (4) | 83 (1) | 68 (3) | 56 (4) | 55 (4) | 76 (2) | 40 | 49 | 33 | 35 | 63 | 55 | 3 | 9/4F | |
| 6 | ▶ Noelles Pelod 3y 15 | E Saville — 18% R106 W19 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 49 | 35 (6) | 49 (6) | 57 (4) | 63 (3) | 58 (5) | 47 (6) | 19 (2) | 90 (1) | 19 (3) | 70 (3) | 28 | 32 | 22 | 31 | 58 | 48 | 6 | 9/1 | |
The standout runner in this race by a clear margin. Form is extraordinary: 78→60→77→75→76 — four of her last five runs above 75, with a 78 peak. That level of consistency at that level of performance is elite. Best average perf in field at 68, best suitability across ALL four measures (track 60, class 50, trap 54, distance 48) — she's proven at this exact track, distance, class, and trap position more than any other runner. CS85 closer profile is perfectly suited to Nottingham's galloping 500m where there's time and room to close. CD form: won at Nottingham 500m in her last 3 CD runs. Trainer O Driver at 26% is moderate. The only weakness is EP25 — dead last through the first bend every time. But at 500m on this track, that's an inconvenience, not a death sentence.
DANGER: The 32% trainer and CS100 combination is explosive when it fires. That 80 peak proves this dog has A1-level ability. But the inconsistent closing speed (PC46) and zero A3 experience make him a volatile danger rather than a reliable pick.
The 77 latest run is tantalising but 6% trainer and worst trap position make this a risky proposition. Place chance if the 77 was genuine.
Solid place chance with the improving CD trajectory and best trap. But he's bringing a knife to a gunfight against Aisling's 78-level form.
Will lead early but CS21 at 500m on a galloping track = guaranteed fade. The declining form (76→64→53→52) confirms he's getting worse, not better.
ELIMINATE. Speed 32 is the worst in the field, 39 latest run is dire, 12% trainer. The two wins were flukes in weak fields.
Fairly even trap spread at A3 with T4 marginally best at 21.0%. T3 at 20.1% is solid. Galloping track character rewards closers who have time and room to make up ground over 500m.
T1:16.1% T2:18.6% T3:20.1% T4:21.0% T5:16.4% T6:19.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Honour Flyer | 40 | 62 | Closer |
2This Is Eze | 62 | 100 | All-Rounder |
3Ballymac Aisling | 25 | 85 | Closer |
4Aslan | 54 | 25 | All-Rounder |
5Swift Satisfy | 55 | 21 | Fader |
6Noelles Pelo | 46 | 38 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.