| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bale Out Lucyb 3y 6 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 33 (2) | 27 (4) | 27 (4) | 31 (1) | 31 (2) | 27 (2) | 26 (3) | 17 (6) | 31 (1) | 20 (4) | 40 | 35 | 17 | 35 | 28 | 31 | 5 | 11/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Inner Cityb 3y 4 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 29 (3) | 30 (3) | 31 (3) | 29 (3) | 25 (4) | 35 (1) | 32 (3) | 37 (1) | 31 (2) | 22 (4) | 57 | 43 | 30 | 23 | 30 | 35 | 2 | 7/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Gizmo Mysteriousb 1y 14 | J L Morris — 33% R27 W9 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 20 (6) | 35 (2) | 33 (6) | 31 (1) | 22 (1) | 22 (5) | 28 (5) | - | - | - | 19 | 34 | 15 | 32 | 27 | 25 | 1 | 6/5F | |
| 4 | ▶ Affleck Nashwand 2y 17 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 47 | 24 (6) | 29 (4) | 27 (5) | 39 (1) | 23 (5) | 30 (3) | 30 (3) | 50 (5) | 42 (6) | 57 (4) | 31 | 26 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Tweenyb 2y 5 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 23 (5) | 36 (1) | 32 (1) | 22 (2) | 23 (4) | 75 (2) | 24 (2) | 26 (2) | 25 (2) | 30 (1) | 34 | 33 | 31 | 59 | 31 | 34 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Crokers Oceand 2yN/R 28 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 53 | 74 (2) | 62 (3) | 54 (4) | 55 (5) | 33 (1) | 76 (1) | 31 (2) | 29 (2) | 34 (1) | 33 (1) | 59 | 40 | 35 | 52 | 54 | 40 | - | - | |
This is a massive class drop — she has been running A4 460m races and posting 54-74 on the clock, while this field is scoring in the mid-twenties. The quality gap is genuinely substantial. The key question is the distance switch: she has been running 460 metres and is now asked to sprint 260. Her early pace of 55 means she will not be trailing the field off the traps, and Front Runner profile helps. Trap 6 is the best box at Valley 260m D3 at 23.6%. Even if she cannot reproduce her full A4 form — and the distance switch is a real unknown — she should be well above this grade at three-quarters effort. The combination of overwhelming class advantage and the best trap makes her the selection despite the legitimate distance concern.
Consistent form in a strong trap. Main danger to the class pick if the distance switch catches her out.
Decent recent form but the worst trap in the race. Hard to recommend.
Hit 35 recently but poor last run. Too inconsistent to rely on.
Decent form average but Closer profile is a real concern at 260m. Hard to recommend.
Historical peak is long gone. Form and trap both below average.
T6 best at 23.6% from 246 runs, T2 strong at 22.3%. T1 worst at 14.2%. Speed R1 wins 28.5%.
T1:14.2% T2:22.3% T3:19.5% T4:16.6% T5:16.3% T6:23.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.