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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fastnet Forced 2y 34 | J R Hall — 21% R317 W65 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 48 | 44 (5) | 49 (5) | 70 (2) | 82 (1) | 75 (1) | 40 (1) | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | 49 (5) | 30 (3) | 52 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 43 | 41 | 5 | 11/8F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Mercia Darkhorsed 2y 19 | K S Harrison — 16% R335 W55 P188 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 35 | 60 (2) | 42 (5) | 55 (3) | 63 (3) | 42 (6) | 48 (5) | 76 (1) | 71 (1) | 62 (2) | 69 (1) | 39 | 43 | 23 | 35 | 58 | 51 | 2 | 5/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Breezerd 2y 6 | R Lambe — 21% R120 W25 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 39 | 60 (2) | 78 (1) | 46 (5) | 65 (2) | 47 (1) | 60 (5) | 61 (4) | 48 (3) | 40 (5) | - | 31 | 29 | 51 | 5 | 54 | 43 | 6 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Mohican Hallieb 1y 17 | D T Smith — 17% R388 W65 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 60 | 45 (5) | 36 (6) | 41 (6) | 75 (1) | 54 (4) | 72 (1) | 64 (2) | 49 (4) | 55 (3) | 58 (3) | 64 | 44 | - | 46 | 61 | 58 | 1 | 8/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Headford Killiand 2y 7 | S W Deakin — 16% R507 W82 P232 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 60 | 72 (2) | 58 (4) | 62 (2) | 68 (2) | 57 (3) | 43 (5) | 46 (5) | 54 (4) | 52 (4) | 76 (1) | 39 | 48 | 23 | 35 | 55 | 50 | 4 | 4/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Distant Graceb 2y 7 | S W Deakin — 16% R507 W82 P232 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 52 | 47 (5) | 56 (3) | 49 (5) | 57 (6) | 39 (4) | 64 (6) | 64 (2) | 72 (2) | 67 (1) | - | 35 | 44 | 21 | 36 | 57 | 50 | 3 | 6/1 | ||
Mohican Hallie is the form dog stepping up from A5 where she won impressively last time in 29.12 and placed second the start before. The upward trajectory is clear — she's been improving through A5 and A6 and now gets her shot at A4. She's a Closer with excellent bend ratings — the best in the field — which means she navigates the turns efficiently, saving ground and energy for a late surge. The trap 4 draw is the strongest structural position in A4 480m races at Dunstall Park, and her individual trap suitability of 64 confirms a proven record from this box. Everything lines up — form, draw, pace profile, and suitability.
Genuine early pace and proven class but the Fader profile over 480m is the Achilles heel — will lead before being caught.
Sprint form doesn't transfer to 480m — Fader who'll lead early then weaken through the closing stages.
Quality closer with decent recent form but faces a significant structural headwind from the dead trap — talent says yes, draw says no.
Well drawn in a dominant trap and dropping in class, but rock-bottom distance suitability is a red flag that the trap alone can't overcome.
Honest and consistent but lacks the structural or individual edge to win — more likely to fill a place frame.
Zero separation — rank 1 and rank 3 win at identical rates (17.6%). Ratings are completely non-predictive at A4 480m. Traps 3 and 4 are both dominant, combining for 43.5% of wins. Trap 2 is dead at 12.5% from 104 runs. Position is everything.
T1:15.0% T2:12.5% T3:20.6% T4:22.9% T5:17.8% T6:16.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fastnet Force | 56 | 10 | Fader |
2Mercia Darkhorse | 40 | 100 | Closer |
3Breezer | 43 | 99 | Closer |
4Mohican Hallie | 46 | 67 | Closer |
5Headford Killian | 65 | 0 | Fader |
6Distant Grace | 54 | 33 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.