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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Goulane Vegasb 2y 26 | D Mullins — 19% R364 W70 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 46 | 62 (1) | 44 (3) | 36 (4) | 37 (5) | 53 (3) | 61 (2) | 46 (3) | 49 (4) | 44 (6) | 52 (4) | 33 | 31 | 45 | 25 | 49 | 31 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Phoenix Izzyb 1y 7 | D W Lee — 22% R237 W53 P125 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 56 | 41 (4) | 65 (1) | 60 (1) | 44 (3) | 54 (1) | 44 (4) | 39 (4) | 65 (1) | - | - | 38 | 37 | - | 39 | 52 | 41 | 1 | 7/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Velvet Aceb 1y 3 | P W Young — 18% R1313 W232 P731 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 64 (1) | 51 (3) | 59 (2) | 38 (4) | 52 (2) | 37 (5) | 51 (4) | 42 (4) | 46 (6) | 50 (4) | 25 | 23 | 19 | 31 | 51 | 44 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Distant Annieb 3y 16 | D Childs — 12% R289 W34 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 68 | 100 | 58 (4) | 69 (4) | 61 0 | 54 (4) | 72 (4) | 69 (2) | 56 (3) | 64 (4) | 72 (3) | - | 21 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 63 | 54 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Real Gone Loverb 3y 38 | D K Hurlock — 19% R927 W179 P515 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 38 | 51 (4) | 67 (3) | 83 (3) | 43 (5) | 64 (1) | 51 (4) | 81 (6) | 80 (4) | 58 (4) | - | 40 | 40 | 12 | 32 | 63 | 39 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lucky Danceb 2y 11 | G E Evans — 21% R300 W64 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 51 | 65 (1) | 58 (2) | 43 (5) | 64 (3) | 71 (2) | 51 (5) | 67 (3) | 67 (4) | 68 (3) | 57 (4) | 28 | 32 | 14 | 41 | 60 | 46 | 3 | 6/4F | - | |
Three wins from seven course-and-distance starts — a 43% C&D strike rate that is the highest of any experienced runner in this field and a genuinely outstanding record at Romford 400m. Trainer D W Lee fires at 32%, the strongest conversion rate in the race. Speed at 40 is lower than the selection. A Fader with early pace of 58 from trap two — the Fader profile from an inside trap is less damaging than from outside, but the concern remains at 400m. Trap two wins 17.65% at A6 — below average. Recent form has shown a dip, with a performance of 41 in the most recent run suggesting the dog is not at its absolute peak. If the form trajectory reverses and D W Lee's stable comes to life, this is the most dangerous dog in the race on C&D record alone.
Recent A7 winner stepping up in grade, speed and performance rank two after the SR1 elimination. All-Rounder profile preferred over Faders at this trip. Below-average trap is the main caveat.
Strong performance figure and Closer profile, but drawn in the worst-performing trap at A6 grade. Structural disadvantage limits the ceiling.
Dominant on raw stats but a 400m debutant with extreme Fader profile and 4% trainer. Three simultaneous red flags eliminate selection despite leading every performance metric.
Decent trap draw, honest pace. Below the top pair on metrics — needs an above-par run to feature.
Best trap draw in the race but lowest speed of the viable runners by a significant margin. Trap advantage cannot bridge the pace gap.
Speed rank one eliminated by debutant Fader rule (D Childs 4%, earlyPace 100, zero 400m runs). Speed rank two from an average trap becomes the analytical pick. Phoenix Izzy's C&D record (3/7 wins, 43%) is the outstanding conversion rate in the race.
T1:20.2% T2:17.7% T3:19.7% T4:18.0% T5:16.4% T6:17.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Goulane Vegas | 47 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Phoenix Izzy | 58 | 26 | Fader |
3Velvet Ace | 0 | 68 | Closer |
4Distant Annie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Real Gone Lover | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Lucky Dance | 53 | 51 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (400m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 400m | 480m | 491m | 525m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goulane Vegas | — | 0.624 | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Phoenix Izzy | — | 0.619 | — | — | 0.565 | — |
| 3 | Velvet Ace | — | 0.617 | 0.623 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Distant Annie | — | — | — | 0.605 | — | — |
| 5 | Real Gone Lover | — | 0.616 | — | 0.605 | — | 0.623 |
| 6 | Lucky Dance | 0.562 | 0.614 | — | — | 0.559 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.