De Girl Sootie is the class act in this race with the highest average performance in the field at 56 and a consistent last run of 58 that confirms she's at the top of her game. She has the best bend rating in the race at 61, which should help her negotiate the crucial first bend cleanly from trap 4, and a speed figure of 52 joint best confirms her raw pace. She's dropping in class, which adds further confidence, and the class suitability of 40 is comfortably the highest in the field. The concern is the draw — trap 4 wins just 14.13% at A5 480m, below expected — and her Fader profile means she'll weaken through the closing stages. But her class advantage over this field is 5+ points above the average, which triggers the class override — even if she fades, the quality gap may be large enough that nobody catches her.