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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Trumpers Derekd 2y 16 | N J Deas — 17% R456 W76 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 49 | 62 (2) | 66 (2) | 58 (3) | 53 (5) | 77 (1) | 77 (1) | 72 (1) | 65 (2) | 68 (1) | 59 (2) | 44 | 47 | 54 | 54 | 65 | 55 | 1 | 5/4F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Fabulous Reyb 1y 4 | L G Tuffin — 25% R271 W68 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | 39 | 60 | 51 (5) | 74 (1) | 26 (4) | 32 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 29 | 35 | 10 | 24 | 48 | 41 | 6 | 9/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Romeo Bravod 1y 4 | L G Tuffin — 25% R271 W68 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 56 | 73 (1) | 47 (5) | 68 (1) | 32 (6) | 61 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 48 | 32 | 17 | 40 | 58 | 50 | 4 | 9/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Salacres Prodigyd 3y 15 | P H Harnden — 18% R387 W70 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 51 | 52 (3) | 49 (5) | 56 (3) | 57 (3) | 51 (4) | 63 (4) | 65 (3) | 82 (1) | 61 (3) | 58 (4) | 36 | 32 | 14 | 15 | 57 | 46 | 2 | 9/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Chelms Jacobd 4y 28 | P H Harnden — 18% R387 W70 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 30 | 74 (1) | 54 (2) | 63 (2) | 76 (1) | 64 (3) | 51 (5) | 53 (3) | 72 (1) | 58 (2) | 47 (5) | 16 | 30 | 20 | 40 | 61 | 46 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Hitthelids Paulod 2y 6 | N J Deas — 17% R456 W76 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 46 | 77 (1) | 43 (5) | 72 (1) | 40 (6) | 42 (5) | 65 (2) | 50 (4) | 62 (3) | 32 (2) | 28 (5) | 26 | 24 | 27 | 35 | 55 | 48 | 3 | 7/2 | ||
The pick — and one of the strongest claims of the entire card. He tops the field on Speed Rank 1, Composite Rank 1 and performance Rank 1, and his course-and-distance record reads 4 wins and 8 placed from 10 visits — an extraordinary 40% strike rate and 80% place rate at this exact assignment. Recent A4 form reads 2,2,3 followed by a 5th at A3 and a previous win at A4. The Closer-style profile is offset by the rail draw and the venue's tendency to allow late runners through; trap 1 at A4 wins 21%, a perfectly fair draw for the grade. When the Speed+Composite combo fires at Towcester 500m at A4, win rate is 35.8% historically — the model lock is right here.
Strong recent form and good course record but the trap is a real handicap.
Pace edge is real but thin form — each-way at best.
Best trap for the grade but the dog has been hitting the boards without converting — each-way only.
Consistent each-way prospect but the trap is wrong for his closing style.
Recent winner but the form line is too inconsistent to back with confidence.
Trap 4 best at 24.1%, trap 3 the dead draw at 16.1%. Speed+Composite combo at A4-A5-A7 over 500m at Towcester historically wins 35.8% — a model lock when both lenses agree.
T1:21% T2:19.8% T3:16.1% T4:24.1% T5:16.7% T6:19.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Trumpers Derek | 49 | 62 | Closer |
2Fabulous Rey | 66 | 0 | Fader |
3Romeo Bravo | 55 | 0 | Fader |
4Salacres Prodigy | 51 | 55 | Closer |
5Chelms Jacob | 32 | 100 | Closer |
6Hitthelids Paulo | 49 | 45 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.