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The Home Of the Produce Stakes Sprint
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyhill Hunterd 1y 22 | Paraic Campion — 15% R39 W6 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 57 (3) | 59 (4) | 46 (4) | 47 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 53 | 36 | 3 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Chamberlain Seand 1y 25 | - | - | 55 | - | 50 (2) | 67 (1) | 43 (3) | 42 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 22 | 27 | - | 40 | 51 | 28 | 4 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Blackrose Aliab 1y 2 | Gearoid O'Brien — 0% R6 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 49 (4) | 47 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | 48 | 32 | 1 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bee Parkesd 2y 21 | - | - | 44 | - | 43 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | 43 | 24 | 6 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Boherdota Mollyb 5y 33 | - | - | 52 | - | 43 (5) | 39 (6) | 55 (4) | 66 (3) | 73 (1) | 60 (3) | 60 (3) | 55 (4) | 70 (4) | - | 2 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 55 | 36 | 2 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Curious Angelab 4y 63 | - | - | 47 | - | 62 (1) | 45 (3) | 51 (4) | 47 (5) | 50 (4) | 34 (6) | 24 (6) | 50 (4) | 62 (2) | 54 (3) | 11 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 49 | 20 | 5 | - | - | |
The model selection from the joint-best structural trap where T3 produces 18.2% winners from 11 S5 300m runs. Only two career starts, both at Youghal 525m maiden company, with performances of 49 and 47 — modest but improving. The complete unknown is whether this pup has the early pace for a 300m sprint, having only raced at 525m. The structural draw advantage is meaningful in this sprint context and the model has identified her over more experienced rivals, likely on pace or sectional signals not visible here. Confidence in this selection is necessarily low given the minimal career evidence, but T3 is a genuine structural positive at this distance.
Best 300m credentials in the race — Clonmel 300m winner with high-rated performances at this trip. Main danger on course-and-distance evidence.
Joint-best structural draw but minimal career evidence. Unknown quantity over 300m sprint distance.
Most experienced 300m runner here with a C&D win but form is declining and draw is unfavourable. The 66-rated win was the peak — the trend since points away.
Zero wins from T1 at S5 300m and no 300m experience. Both structural and form factors point strongly away from this runner today.
Recent sprint winner and 300m experienced but zero wins from T6 at S5 300m here. Strong structural signal discounts despite sprint credentials.
T1 and T6 zero wins from 14 and 9 runs respectively — strong structural signal against those boxes at 300m. T3/T4 joint best. Very small sample — treat all statistics with caution.
T3:18.2%(11) T4:18.2%(11) T2:14.3%(14) T5:7.7%(13) T1:0%(14) T6:0%(9)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 300m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 300m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (300m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 300m | 325m | 330m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollyhill Hunter | — | — | — | 0.572 |
| 2 | Chamberlain Sean | 0.570 | — | — | 0.580 |
| 3 | Blackrose Alia | — | — | — | 0.572 |
| 4 | Bee Parkes | — | — | — | 0.574 |
| 5 | Boherdota Molly | 0.569 | 0.559 | — | — |
| 6 | Curious Angela | 0.578 | 0.568 | 0.568 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.