More Likely drops from A4 to A5 here which should make life easier, though his one A4 start was underwhelming. His recent record is largely trials where he's won twice, and his graded experience is limited. However, the model rates him highly and his track suitability of 73 is exceptionally strong — the highest in the field by a wide margin, along with distance suitability of 56. His Fader profile means he'll lead early with good bend speed, and from trap 5 he should get a clear run on the outside. The concern is the trap position at 17.3% which is below average, and his limited graded experience. But the suitability advantage is significant and suggests he has a genuine affinity with this track that could carry him through.