The pick on a combination of trap, form record, and pace profile. Drawn in trap 6, which wins 26.0% from 127 runs at this grade and distance — the best box in the race by a clear margin. An excellent course and distance record of three wins and eight places from ten runs tells you she is thoroughly at home here and converts when the conditions suit. She is a Fader with early pace of 55, meaning she will be competitive early in the race and does not need to close from the back. Form of P42, P36, P56, P55, P58, P29 includes three recent above-average performances in the mid-50s range, showing she is capable at this level. The speed gap between her and Shinobi Gail is only three points — within the margin where trap and pace profile should tip the decision — and on both those secondary factors Rifle Bullet wins.