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Arena Racing Company Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bushfire Jackd 1y 15 | P Rutherford — 19% R333 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | 5 | 29 | 35 (4) | 44 (6) | 40 (3) | 33 (4) | 30 (4) | 25 (5) | 33 (4) | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 36 | 12 | 6 | 9/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Smiling Evamacb 1y 13 | J J Fenwick — 19% R491 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 22 | 45 | 27 (5) | 70 (1) | 35 (4) | 36 (6) | 57 (3) | 52 (2) | 33 (4) | 27 (5) | 41 (2) | 41 (3) | 11 | 20 | - | 26 | 46 | 27 | 2 | 10/3 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Chamonixb 3y 26 | S Caile — 14% R181 W25 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 52 | 56 (2) | 46 (5) | 58 (4) | 45 (4) | 57 (3) | 53 (4) | 59 (3) | 49 (4) | 59 (2) | 57 (2) | 42 | 21 | - | 8 | 52 | 34 | 3 | 5/4F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Vote For Amberb 2y 6 | D Blackbird — 17% R1081 W181 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 66 | 53 (4) | 60 (2) | 53 (5) | 47 (5) | 50 (5) | 40 (5) | 73 (1) | 56 (3) | 50 (5) | 61 (3) | 20 | 23 | - | 24 | 54 | 47 | 1 | 7/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Blackhouseharperb 3y 17 | S Ray — 14% R408 W57 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | 61 | 49 | 62 (2) | 46 (6) | 58 (2) | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 74 (1) | 62 (2) | 67 (1) | 62 (2) | 38 (6) | 20 | 27 | - | 38 | 57 | 49 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Inca Tailorb 3y 110 | P Singlewood — 20% R126 W25 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | 73 | 50 | 76 (1) | 75 (1) | 63 (3) | 82 (1) | 68 (3) | 17 (3) | 51 (3) | 59 (5) | 55 (5) | 82 (1) | 25 | 25 | - | 37 | 63 | 60 | 4 | 7/2 | ||
Inca Tailor is the class act in this race without much argument. Off scratch — giving every other runner a head start — she answered that question emphatically last time out, winning the HP in 29.48 while leading near the line. Before that, wins of P82 and P63 in HP company show this is no fluke. The speed figure (73) is by far the highest in this race — the next best is 13 points behind — and trainer P Singlewood has a strong record at Newcastle. The scratch position means she needs to be switched off in the early stages while the handicap dogs use their head start, then produced powerfully down the long home straight. She did exactly that last time. Trust her to do it again.
Won last HP from R11 in quick time — main danger to the scratch dog if Inca Tailor meets traffic.
Maximum head start and best trap, but declining form means the advantage is neutralised.
Consistent HP performer but hasn't shown a winning effort — place chance only.
Dead structural trap cancels the front-running advantage — hard to recommend.
Good speed but worst structural trap and minimal head start — mismatched today.
HP at Newcastle: T1 dominates (23.7% from 397 runs). T4 and T5 are structural dead draws (12.3%/11.6%). T6 modest at 18.7%. Composite model weak at HP grade (R1 only 18.5%). The scratch dog (Inca Tailor, T6) gives all rivals a head start.
T1:23.7% T2:19.6% T3:17.7% T4:12.3% T5:11.6% T6:18.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bushfire Jack | 30 | 46 | All-Rounder |
2Smiling Evamac | 39 | 49 | All-Rounder |
3Chamonix | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Vote For Amber | 59 | 50 | Front Runner |
5Blackhouseharper | 51 | 70 | Closer |
6Inca Tailor | 48 | 91 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.