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NORMAN'S 70TH BIRTHDAY
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Southfield Aced 2y 46 | R Short — 19% R131 W25 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 12 | 62 (3) | 46 (5) | 65 (2) | 76 (4) | 71 (2) | 56 (2) | 74 (4) | 76 (2) | 75 (2) | - | 48 | 32 | - | - | 64 | 18 | 1 | 2/1F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Crokers Fluffyd 3y 8 | S J Cull — 10% R92 W9 P49 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 88 | 17 (6) | 35 (2) | 34 (2) | 57 (2) | 42 (6) | 45 (1) | 47 (4) | 49 (3) | 61 (2) | - | 19 | 31 | 40 | 31 | 39 | 38 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Flowerpot Bingod 4y 17 | S A Aveline — 13% R70 W9 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 27 (4) | 27 (5) | 29 (4) | 28 (4) | 21 | 41 (6) | 24 (1) | 34 (6) | 33 (2) | - | 47 | 33 | 21 | 24 | 29 | 31 | 4 | 4/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Magical Sonnyd 3y 4 | S W Deakin — 16% R499 W82 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | - | 26 (5) | 36 (1) | 20 (5) | 36 (1) | 18 (6) | 24 (5) | 29 (6) | 36 (4) | 28 (1) | - | 39 | 38 | 28 | 34 | 28 | 31 | 6 | 14/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Moanteen Mollyb 3y 6 | G B Ballentine — 15% R106 W16 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 33 (2) | 33 (2) | 28 (3) | 33 (2) | 23 (4) | 22 (6) | 24 (6) | 36 (1) | 33 (2) | 31 (3) | 31 | 38 | 28 | 33 | 30 | 32 | 2 | 3/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Shuffle The Deckd 2y 11 | M T Field — 22% R227 W50 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 33 (2) | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | 31 (2) | 36 (1) | 23 (5) | 26 (4) | 33 (2) | 25 (3) | 29 (3) | 28 | 27 | 36 | 50 | 32 | 34 | 3 | 3/1 | ||
The most proven D3 performer in the field with two wins and a runner-up from three starts at this grade — a 67% win strike rate that is exceptional at any level. His winning times of 16.24 and 16.36 seconds are solid if unspectacular, but the consistency of finding the finish line first is what separates him from the field. Speed rating of 53 matches the best in the race, composite of 52.8 is respectable, and distance suitability of 50 confirms he handles this trip well. Trainer M T Field operates at an excellent 26% and clearly has this dog placed well. The trap six draw is the main concern — T6 carries just 15.9% at D3 270m — but his two wins from three suggest he handles Dunstall Park regardless of draw. The safest option in a race where proven C&D form outweighs raw explosiveness.
Lightning early pace and bend speed when firing but catastrophic last D3 run adds major volatility risk.
Massive class drop from A2 480m but Closer with zero EP is catastrophically wrong for 270m.
Low-rated D3 regular without the speed or form trajectory to trouble the principals.
One D3 win to his name but overall profile suggests limited and not progressing.
Ultra-consistent D3 placer but has not converted to wins and draws the weaker outside trap.
Fairly even trap bias at D3 270m — T2 slightly favoured (21.7%) while T5 and T6 lag at around 15%. Composite R1 only 20.6% — model adds minimal edge at bottom sprint grade. C&D form is the strongest predictor here.
T1:20.8%(500) T2:21.7%(608) T3:18.3%(575) T4:18.2%(598) T5:15.3%(510) T6:15.9%(452)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.