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Pick 4 Starts Here
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Distant Flowb 4y 28 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 49 | 84 (1) | 75 (2) | 46 (4) | 59 (4) | 45 (4) | 87 (1) | 88 (1) | 53 (6) | 53 (5) | 65 (4) | 55 | 27 | 37 | 42 | 67 | 44 | 4 | 6/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Superb Morningd 2y 5 | D L Fretwell — 16% R162 W26 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 48 | 79 (2) | 44 (4) | 42 (4) | 56 (3) | 85 (1) | 28 (5) | 44 (2) | 89 (1) | 88 (1) | 87 (1) | 38 | 38 | 18 | 40 | 61 | 51 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Carakeel Expressd 2y 27 | D L Fretwell — 16% R162 W26 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 53 | 59 (5) | 72 (3) | 87 (1) | 90 (1) | 89 (1) | 35 (3) | 87 (1) | 54 (4) | 62 (3) | 70 (3) | 52 | 48 | - | 41 | 72 | 48 | 1 | 9/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Thurlesbeg Lexyb 2y 26 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 49 | 87 (1) | 67 (3) | 46 (3) | 86 (1) | 59 (5) | 82 (1) | 78 (1) | 61 (4) | 51 (4) | - | 45 | 33 | - | 47 | 70 | 47 | 3 | 10/3 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Romeo Cobrad 3y 14 | K Hodson — 20% R251 W50 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | 61 | 56 | 46 (2) | 37 (5) | 47 (2) | 51 (2) | 60 (1) | 61 (1) | 88 (1) | 87 (1) | 56 (4) | 46 (2) | 31 | 37 | - | 40 | 54 | 52 | 2 | 1/1F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Ellanne Bestd 4yN/R 27 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | 70 | - | 42 (1) | 36 (2) | 36 (2) | 34 (3) | 36 (2) | 34 (4) | 30 (5) | 35 (4) | 42 (2) | 48 (5) | 43 | 43 | - | - | 37 | 51 | - | - | ||
The class act in the field with the highest performance rating of 72 and the best consensus ranking at three rank-one positions with a rank sum of just 24. Recent form includes an A2 win with P87 and an open-race win at P90, putting him well above most of this field on proven ability. The suitability profile is the strongest in the race across all dimensions with trap 52, track 48, and distance 41 all field-leading figures. The fading pace profile is a concern at a track where sustaining speed through the final bends matters, but the quality gap between this dog and most of the field may render that concern secondary. Was fifth in A1 last time with P59 which is below par, but the form before that was outstanding and one poor run does not override the weight of evidence. Drawn in trap three which carries the best structural win rate at A1 500 metres.
A2 winner with OR pedigree and the ideal closing profile for 500m, the main danger to the selection on recent form.
Improving closer who won A3 last but faces a significant class jump to A1 tonight, place chance at best.
OR-calibre dog who placed 2nd in A1 last time but erratic form trajectory makes him unreliable as a primary selection.
Fastest early but the fading profile over 500m at Sheffield suggests he sets it up for closers rather than winning himself.
Speed figures are striking but zero distance form and a massive D2-to-A1 class jump make this a lottery ticket, not a selection.
Small sample of 121 runs at A1. Trap 3 has the best win rate at 18.2%. Composite R1 hits 23.1%, close to baseline. Quality of field reduces structural edges.
T1:16.5% T2:17.4% T3:18.2% T4:15.7% T5:16.5% T6:15.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Distant Flow | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Superb Morning | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Carakeel Express | 64 | 10 | Fader |
4Thurlesbeg Lexy | 5 | 100 | Closer |
5Romeo Cobra | 94 | 0 | Fader |
6Ellanne Best | — | — | No data |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.