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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Agile Dorothyb 3y 48 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W96 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | 0 | 0 | 62 (1) | 39 (5) | 32 (6) | 71 (5) | 89 (1) | 98 (1) | 73 (3) | 60 (4) | 47 (5) | 80 (2) | 44 | 40 | - | 25 | 63 | 46 | 5 | 6/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Moss Cashb 4y 17 | K Everitt — 17% R84 W14 P49 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 54 | 60 (1) | 47 (2) | 41 (4) | 59 (1) | 43 (3) | 42 (3) | 39 (5) | 37 (5) | 42 (4) | 17 (5) | 30 | 30 | - | 38 | 46 | 47 | 3 | 11/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Trewmount Furyd 4y 16 | J W Gaskin — 23% R332 W75 P233 Trainer form — last 3 months | 61 | 58 | 50 (3) | 60 (1) | 56 (2) | 46 (3) | 60 (1) | 49 (2) | 48 (2) | 49 (2) | 50 (3) | 75 (2) | 43 | 45 | - | 52 | 55 | 57 | 1 | 1/1F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Millhouse Lend 3y 25 | R J Overton — 18% R318 W57 P192 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 44 | 47 (3) | 62 (3) | 62 (3) | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 62 (5) | 77 (3) | 63 (4) | 80 (1) | 65 (2) | 35 | 33 | - | 15 | 61 | 41 | 2 | 6/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Cockneyalfitnessb 2y 15 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R321 W58 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 50 | 36 (5) | 35 (5) | 42 (4) | 49 (3) | 40 (4) | 50 (2) | 59 (1) | 41 (3) | 37 (5) | 42 (1) | 18 | 23 | - | 14 | 43 | 35 | 4 | 7/1 | ||
Trewmount Fury is the pick here and the form makes a compelling case. He was beaten a short head last time out — just failing to reel in Moss Cash at B3 over this exact course and distance — and has two wins and two seconds from his last five at Doncaster 450m. The speed figures are the best in this field: best time of 28.06 here, and a 2.15 sectional last time shows he is no slouch into the first bend. He is the composite top-rated dog by a clear 10-point margin over the second-best, and at Doncaster 450m a gap of that size has historically pushed the win rate towards 26%. His record at this course and distance is excellent — the white jacket suits a dog who can race across the field and find a clear run. The trainer has a 24% career win rate at Doncaster, which is solid. This looks a prime opportunity to go one better.
Front-runner in good form but vulnerable to the fade over the last furlong against a stronger finisher.
Intriguing returnee but the long absence from open racing makes her hard to trust. Watch next time.
Grade drop is interesting but closer profile and limited 450m form make him a risk at the odds.
Best trap draw wasted on current form. Too many bad recent runs to trust.
B3 grade is relatively balanced on trap draw. Composite R1 wins 24.6% from 590 runs — solid model authority. Gap of 10 points between R1 and R2 composite scores stacks to 26%+ win probability at this venue.
T1:23.8% T2:19.9% T3:18.1% T4:21.1% T5:21.1% T6:23.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Agile Dorothy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Moss Cash | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Trewmount Fury | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Millhouse Len | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Cockneyalfitness | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.