The Sean Lavin Testimonial Race A4 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crokers Primroseb 3y 12 | Stephen Murray — 18% R17 W3 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 62 (6) | 83 (4) | 48 (1) | 65 (6) | 56 (4) | 84 (6) | 59 (1) | 68 (4) | 70 (4) | - | 10 | 23 | 38 | 24 | 66 | 44 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Portumna Amberb 1y 3 | John Sloyan — 14% R7 W1 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 60 (5) | 84 (1) | 56 (2) | 39 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 | 37 | 10 | 24 | 61 | 48 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hanover Sparrowb 1y 16 | - | - | 48 | - | 65 (3) | 67 (3) | 75 (1) | 51 (6) | 53 (5) | 42 (4) | 48 (3) | - | - | - | 1 | 17 | - | 17 | 60 | 44 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Island Ivyb 1y 13 | - | - | 56 | - | 68 (2) | 62 (5) | 57 (4) | 81 (1) | 46 (6) | 66 (3) | 40 (6) | 76 (1) | 53 (4) | 65 (1) | 23 | 45 | 12 | 29 | 62 | 49 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Substanceb 3y 24 | - | - | 53 | - | 61 (3) | 61 (5) | 50 (6) | 55 (5) | 86 (1) | 73 (2) | 56 (6) | 62 (4) | 86 (1) | 84 (1) | 41 | 39 | 34 | 25 | 64 | 48 | 2 | 6/4 | - | |
The fastest in the field on speed rating — 56, which at Galway A4 525 metres is a very strong signal, as the top-speed runner wins 35.2% of the time from 105 runs. Has the highest composite score in the race and is dropping from A3 grade, where she ran 68 and 62 in recent starts, to A5 grade tonight — a full two grades easier than her most recent form. Two wins from seven course and distance starts here provides track knowledge. The major reservation is trap 5, which is the joint-worst structural draw at Galway A4 525 metres at 13.95% from 86 runs. The raw speed advantage is so significant at this grade that the pick is made despite the trap, but with caution — the draw cuts the chance materially. If she gets an early run and can use her pace advantage, this is the dog to beat.
Exceptional course and distance record and fastest best time in the race. Trap 6 is a concern but the C&D form makes this the main danger.
Best trap but no track experience and below-average speed. Interesting if pace develops and she adapts to the course.
Below-average draw but demonstrated ability with a recent 84-rated course and distance win. Place claims at least.
Course-wise and consistent but lacking the pace of the top contenders. Each-way claims from a decent draw.
Decent draw and improving form but speed and performance are below the top contenders. Each-way at best.
Speed rank 1 wins 35.2% at Galway A4 525m — the dominant single-race signal at this grade. Trap 1 best at 21.8%; traps 5 and 6 weakest at 13.95% each.
T1:21.8% T2:15.3% T3:17.7% T4:18.4% T5:13.95% T6:13.95%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crokers Primrose | — | 0.566 | — |
| 2 | Portumna Amber | 0.563 | 0.562 | — |
| 3 | Hanover Sparrow | — | 0.565 | — |
| 4 | Island Ivy | 0.558 | 0.564 | 0.567 |
| 6 | Substance | 0.557 | 0.564 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.