Loading racecard
Loading...
Loading racecard
The ARC Owners Day Race 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Toonarmy Pippinb 2y 6 | D Blackbird — 17% R1064 W179 P571 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 35 | 27 (4) | 34 (2) | 37 (2) | 31 (3) | 44 (6) | 58 (4) | 73 (2) | 62 (4) | 83 (1) | 75 (1) | 30 | 36 | 24 | 29 | 50 | 38 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Blackstone Tinod 2y 7 | G Strike — 19% R398 W75 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | - | 39 (2) | 34 (3) | 30 (4) | 31 (3) | 28 (6) | 29 (5) | 36 (4) | 47 (1) | 29 (5) | 33 (4) | 28 | 35 | 24 | 23 | 34 | 33 | 4 | 9/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Kelseys Zoomd 2y 45 | E Y Bell — 21% R516 W109 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 65 | 42 (4) | 53 (4) | 91 (4) | 87 (1) | 83 (1) | 42 (1) | 39 (2) | 86 (2) | 71 (3) | - | 3 | 40 | - | 15 | 64 | 23 | 1 | 15/8F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Brynoffa Decd 3y 16 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R512 W86 P262 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | - | 19 (5) | 29 (5) | 35 (4) | 40 (3) | 35 (2) | 25 (6) | 45 (1) | 37 (3) | 40 (2) | 29 (4) | 41 | 36 | 24 | 23 | 35 | 35 | 6 | 9/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Millhill Graceb 3y 17 | G A Stark — 20% R282 W55 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | - | 26 (5) | 37 (3) | 31 (5) | 32 (4) | 46 (1) | 39 (2) | 35 (3) | 27 (6) | 45 (1) | 38 (3) | 37 | 45 | 30 | 31 | 36 | 34 | 3 | 5/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Sleepy Baled 4y 17 | P Miller — 17% R482 W82 P247 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 34 (3) | 41 (1) | 40 (1) | 33 (3) | 36 (3) | 37 (2) | 39 (1) | 33 (3) | 34 (4) | 38 (2) | 35 | 37 | 64 | 49 | 37 | 38 | 2 | 7/1 | ||
The most reliable evidence in the race. Won the last two D2 runnings here — quick away both times, led from his customary wide line and held on. Three wins and five places from ten course and distance runs is the strongest D2-specific record in the field, and the average performance has been climbing steadily over his last six. Trap 6 at this grade wins 22.0 per cent — joint best of any box, giving him the wide-clear draw he wants. The model has him top-rated, the trap stats back him, and the C&D form is honest. The classier Kelseys Zoom is the obvious danger, but his trip switch makes him a much less straightforward proposition than the in-form sprint specialist drawn wide.
Right trap, in form, but the running style is wrong for the trip — danger rather than pick.
Quick away, but the dead trap caps the upside.
The class horse but the trip switch from 450m sprints is a genuine unknown.
Wrong trap, declining form, others preferred.
Worst trap at this grade is the killer.
Traps 1 and 6 carry the strongest win rates (22%+) — the rail and the wide-clear berth are the only boxes punching above average. Traps 2, 4 and 5 all collapse below 14%. The composite model is weak at this trip overall (composite R1 only 19.9% from 306 runs); speed and early pace are the more reliable lenses. From 850 D2 runs.
T1:22.2% T2:13.1% T3:18.0% T4:13.3% T5:12.9% T6:22.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.