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The Scradger Chase
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sawdust Pegb 3y 29 | B Denby — 20% R245 W50 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 74 | 92 (2) | 75 (2) | 69 (4) | 83 (4) | 100 (3) | 61 (1) | 84 (4) | 61 (2) | 87 (5) | - | 33 | 33 | 36 | 27 | 80 | 42 | 2 | 9/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Cruiser Finnd 2y 16 | J Gray — 14% R220 W30 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 9 | 62 (3) | 95 (2) | 79 (5) | 73 (3) | 96 (2) | 67 (3) | 72 (2) | 54 (5) | 75 (5) | 72 (2) | 29 | 27 | 12 | 22 | 76 | 41 | 5 | 7/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Mongys Tigerd 2y 27 | J Daly — 19% R233 W44 P125 Trainer form — last 3 months | 98 | 100 | 69 (3) | 84 (2) | 68 (3) | 91 (1) | 49 (6) | 94 (1) | 89 (1) | 48 (5) | 65 (4) | 74 (2) | 42 | 40 | 22 | - | 74 | 47 | 1 | 10/11F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Newinn Rosieb 1y 38 | F Macklin — 21% R196 W42 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | 29 | 62 | 73 (3) | 74 (4) | 81 (3) | 63 (3) | 69 (4) | 57 (5) | 61 (5) | 72 (3) | 76 (2) | 53 (6) | 11 | 8 | - | - | 70 | 22 | 4 | 8/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Optic Helmetd 2y 38 | B Denby — 20% R245 W50 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | 35 | 39 | 88 (1) | 100 (1) | 70 (3) | 65 (3) | 60 (5) | 57 (4) | 53 (5) | 81 (2) | 79 (3) | 88 (1) | 29 | 34 | 24 | 27 | 76 | 37 | 6 | 5/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Mallogs Mileyb 3y 25 | B Denby — 20% R245 W50 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 43 | 85 (5) | 85 (2) | 91 (4) | 65 (2) | 73 (3) | 74 (2) | 15 (4) | 67 (4) | - | - | 15 | 31 | - | 14 | 74 | 33 | 3 | 5/1 | ||
Won this exact race — S1 over 680 metres — two starts back with a peak-career 100-rated effort, leading from the fourth bend. Then backed that up with an impressive A2 win last time out rated 88, leading from the run-in. The form is on a steep upward curve — 57, 60, 65, 70, 100, 88 reading from oldest to newest — and the last two efforts suggest he is at the peak of his powers. Two course and distance runs with one win at the marathon trip, and the trainer operates at 24%. A Fader by profile with explosive early pace, which is normally a concern at staying trips, but the S1 win proves he handles 680 metres when in this kind of form. The trap 5 draw is not ideal but the evidence of the actual race result outweighs the trap data from a tiny sample.
Best form in the field and well drawn on the rail for a marathon — the clear danger to the pick.
Breathtaking peaks but the worst bend rating in the field — loses too much ground at every turn over 680m.
Best speed and bend in the field but trying a marathon for the first time as a confirmed Fader — stamina is the unknown.
Limited evidence at the trip and the weakest speed — likely to be outclassed in the finish.
High-class Closer but no CD win and the wide draw over a marathon is hard to overcome.
Only 16 runs — condition data is statistically meaningless. Must rely on general marathon principles: stamina, closing speed, rail advantage, proven stayers.
T1:33.3% T2:0.0% T3:0.0% T4:50.0% T5:0.0% T6:50.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 680m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Sawdust Peg | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Cruiser Finn | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Mongys Tiger | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Newinn Rosie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Optic Helmet | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Mallogs Miley | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.