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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ivys Hollyb 2y 7 | D T Smith — 17% R388 W65 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | 33 | 55 | 40 (6) | 30 (6) | 79 (3) | 81 (1) | 54 (5) | 19 (2) | 51 (3) | 57 (3) | 60 (5) | - | 34 | 49 | 34 | 31 | 55 | 41 | 3 | 8/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Tantalising Jetd 2y 15 | K S Harrison — 16% R335 W55 P188 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 49 | 76 (2) | 58 (4) | 70 (2) | 32 (2) | 29 (4) | 22 (4) | 67 (3) | 68 (3) | 59 (5) | 85 (1) | 22 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 53 | 46 | 1 | 9/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Breezerd 2y 7 | R Lambe — 21% R120 W25 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 46 | 78 (1) | 46 (5) | 65 (2) | 39 (1) | 47 (6) | 60 (5) | 61 (4) | 48 (3) | 40 (5) | - | 29 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 56 | 46 | 5 | 5/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Got One Betterd 3y 15 | J R Hall — 21% R317 W65 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 52 | 80 (1) | 65 (3) | 53 (3) | 52 (5) | 41 (6) | 68 (3) | 55 (4) | 80 (5) | 55 (1) | - | 21 | 23 | 14 | 20 | 62 | 47 | 4 | 10/3 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Swift Zigd 3y 8 | D T Smith — 17% R388 W65 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 53 | 54 (5) | 52 (4) | 75 (2) | 46 (6) | 72 (3) | 54 (6) | 22 (1) | 21 (3) | 61 (4) | 23 (1) | 28 | 41 | 27 | 27 | 50 | 47 | 2 | 11/8F | ||
Ivys Holly draws trap one at A3 480m, where the historical data from 570 runs shows 25.3 percent of winners emerging from this box — a genuinely outstanding positional advantage that is almost impossible to ignore. The last run was P30 at sixth in A2 480m — a higher grade — which on the surface looks poor but is entirely explained by the step up in class. Before that, the form of P30→P79→P81→P54→P19 includes two consecutive strong A3 performances at P79 and P81, which are exactly the type of ratings needed to win at this grade. Ivys Holly is a Closer whose running style suits a dog who draws the rails — with a clear path early, this type can often find a winning position without having to fight for room at the first bend. The track suitability of 49 is the highest in the field and the overall suitability picture confirms this runner genuinely suits the venue.
Won this race last time at A3 and has the second-highest composite. The primary danger to our trap-one selection.
Won last time at A4 and steps up in grade today, but the worst draw at this grade and distance is a major negative and outweighs the form argument.
Good draw but very inconsistent recent form. Current level appears below what is needed to win at A3 today.
Joint-highest composite and a strong draw but inconsistent form makes this runner a risk. Good each-way prospect given the structural advantages.
570 runs at A3 480m. T1 outstanding at 25.3%, T3 weakest at 10.0%. Five-runner field today. T2 and T5 both at 19.4% — a three-horse race on draw data alone.
T1:25.3% T2:19.4% T3:10.0% T4:17.0% T5:19.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ivys Holly | 35 | 75 | Closer |
2Tantalising Jet | 57 | 50 | Front Runner |
3Breezer | 50 | 45 | All-Rounder |
4Got One Better | 58 | 10 | Fader |
5Swift Zig | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.