This is one of those races where the figures demand you stop analysing and simply back the standout. Five wins from eight visits to Yarmouth over 462 metres is an extraordinary course and distance record at A1 level — no other runner in this race comes close to that strike rate. Last time out she won in OR grade here with a rated performance of 94 — the highest on the card this evening — and before that she won at A2 and A3 and A4, showing a consistent rise through the grades. Her average performance of 83 is 12 points clear of the next-best runner. She is drawn in trap three, the best-performing box at A1 here. She tends to fade in the final stages, which would normally be a concern at a track where the home straight is the longest in the country, but she is so far superior to this field that she should not need to run her best race to win. The one they all have to beat, and it is not particularly close.