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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Grumpy Adagiob 2y 15 | N Langley — 16% R202 W32 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 42 | 46 (5) | 63 (1) | 60 (2) | 21 (5) | 26 (2) | 28 (2) | 32 (1) | 27 (2) | 28 (2) | 25 (6) | 42 | 22 | 31 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 5 | 11/4F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Gurtnacrehy Kobed 4y 15 | W M Lyons — 19% R1029 W200 P552 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 48 | 38 (6) | 62 (2) | 69 (1) | 47 (5) | 41 (6) | 45 (4) | 43 (5) | 49 (4) | 47 (4) | 54 (3) | 22 | 25 | 22 | 28 | 53 | 45 | 1 | 3/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Swift Orientalb 1y 16 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W55 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | 35 | 56 | 50 (2) | 32 (1) | 29 (2) | 47 (5) | 26 (2) | 28 (3) | 29 (4) | 65 (2) | 62 (3) | 30 (2) | 32 | 34 | - | - | 37 | 28 | 6 | 4/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Knotmor Blaked 1y 25 | D E Fradgley — 15% R99 W15 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 55 | 33 (5) | 36 (5) | 34 (6) | 46 (6) | 66 (1) | 47 (3) | 26 (6) | 44 (4) | 54 (2) | 53 (2) | 31 | 25 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 37 | 4 | 7/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Revilo Eagleb 3y 5 | I Zivkovic — 14% R614 W85 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 57 | 42 (5) | 30 (3) | 49 (3) | 50 (3) | 68 (1) | 51 (3) | 62 (1) | 48 (2) | 38 (6) | 55 (2) | 32 | 26 | 12 | 27 | 52 | 46 | 3 | 3/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Bells Meadowd 4y 26 | W M Lyons — 19% R1029 W200 P552 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 38 | 44 (5) | 70 (1) | 51 (4) | 69 (1) | 69 (1) | 75 (1) | 64 (1) | 63 (1) | 52 (2) | 54 (2) | 26 | 24 | 37 | 55 | 61 | 46 | 2 | 9/2 | ||
Bells Meadow's case rests on a course-and-distance record that is exceptional by any objective measure — five wins from ten starts at Kinsley over 462m in A6 grade, including recent runs of 28.43 and 28.51 that confirm she is operating at or near a career peak. Her personal best of 28.24 is the fastest time in this field at this trip, and a performance rating of 61 gives her a 24-point advantage over the field's only confirmed front-runner — clearing the threshold for Closer selections at this track by a wide margin. Closer pacing profiles carry inherent risk at Kinsley's tight bend, but a 50 per cent win conversion at this exact trip demonstrates she has the tactical intelligence and positional awareness to overcome that structural challenge. Draws trap 6, which posts 17.1 per cent at A6 — below the dominant T1 figure of 21.4 per cent — but the occupant of box 1 arrives stepping up in class from A7 with a performance rating that ranks fifth in the field, significantly undermining the trap advantage. When box 1's structural edge is held by a dog whose ability metrics are at the bottom of the card, the statistical pressure from the inside draw is neutralised. The C&D data here is the overriding argument: no other dog in the race comes close to her Kinsley 462m A6 winning record.
Best trap draw in the race but weak A6 form and a performance rating near the bottom of the field cap his ceiling.
Speed leader at this distance but Closer profile and modest C&D conversion rate make it difficult to advocate for him.
Front-running profile will set the pace but lack of 462m C&D form and low ability metrics make him a difficult selection.
Consistent course form but no standout attribute to elevate him above the selection — solid without being compelling.
Capable C&D performer with the top bend rating — the severe trap penalty at box 5 is the main obstacle to confidence.
Trap 1 is dominant at Kinsley 462m A6 (21.4 per cent vs field average 17 per cent). Trap 5 is the worst draw at 11.3 per cent. The performance model is flat — C&D record and pace profile are the primary selection differentiators.
T1:21.4% T2:16.5% T3:18.6% T4:17.5% T5:11.3% T6:17.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Grumpy Adagio | 39 | 53 | All-Rounder |
2Gurtnacrehy Kobe | 47 | 65 | Closer |
3Swift Oriental | 59 | 20 | Fader |
4Knotmor Blake | 53 | 42 | All-Rounder |
5Revilo Eagle | 53 | 47 | All-Rounder |
6Bells Meadow | 39 | 79 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.