Loading...
Jenningsbet Stayers Trophy Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bubbly Evieb 2yREP 28 | A W Dean — 38% R16 W6 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 94 | 73 | 100 (1) | 79 (4) | 84 (2) | 87 (2) | 81 (2) | 59 (4) | 100 (1) | 68 (1) | 100 (6) | - | 47 | 70 | 56 | 70 | 85 | 70 | 1 | 1/10F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Aero Pepinillod 3yREP 25 | R Taberner — 20% R748 W151 P422 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 78 | 86 (3) | 100 (1) | 82 (3) | 91 (2) | 74 (4) | 67 (4) | 62 (4) | 92 (3) | 87 (2) | 66 (4) | 38 | 28 | 12 | 24 | 83 | 54 | 3 | 25/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Princess Matildab 2yREP 16 | G E Evans — 21% R297 W62 P157 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 72 | 37 | 77 (2) | 80 (3) | 99 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 87 (2) | 58 | 49 | 52 | 60 | 92 | 73 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Good Rainbowb 3yN/RREP 24 | B D O'sullivan — 19% R501 W93 P282 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 61 | 97 (1) | 75 (4) | 100 (1) | 76 (4) | 51 (5) | 69 (3) | 89 (1) | 65 (3) | 74 (3) | 59 (4) | 31 | 43 | 17 | 53 | 79 | 55 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Scarty Melb 1yREP 23 | R M Emery — 11% R113 W12 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 13 | 92 (2) | 57 (4) | 54 (4) | 67 (2) | 63 (6) | 52 (6) | 48 (5) | 63 (5) | 33 (5) | 54 (4) | 9 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 63 | 34 | 4 | 33/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Reality Powerb 2yN/RREP 25 | R M Emery — 11% R113 W12 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 14 | 71 (3) | 83 (2) | 84 (3) | 82 (2) | 71 (4) | 86 (3) | 82 (3) | 69 (5) | 98 (1) | 100 (1) | 28 | 49 | 31 | 31 | 80 | 54 | - | - | - | |
Has OR-grade wins at Towcester over 500 metres and an invitational at Monmore over 480m, demonstrating class at OR level in other regions. A Fader with early pace of 90 and composite score of 68, the highest in the field, generated by the model from career performance data. Track suitability of 36 and distance suitability of 17 reflect limited Central Park experience. The recent form shows a third at an invitational at Monmore and second and third at Towcester at OR2 standard. Trap 1 carries a 19.1 percent win rate for OR3 491m here, the second-best draw. The composite score is attractive and trap 1 is good, but the absence of any Central Park form is a concern at a tight, bend-demanding venue where course knowledge matters. A runner capable of winning if the Central Park track plays to their strengths.
Two OR3 491m wins here in recent form, best performance rating, highest suitability, early pace 100. The dominant form selection in this race despite a below-average draw.
OR 491m winner here, second-best performance rating, strongest trainer record on the card at 32%. The danger to the selection and the most likely alternative winner.
OR-grade winner elsewhere but a Closer with no Central Park experience and the weakest draw for this grade and distance. Hard to make a compelling case.
Best draw on the card at 22.6%, genuine Central Park 491m form, but consistently placing third rather than winning at this grade. Below the performance level of the top selection.
OR winner elsewhere with a strong trainer, but no Central Park experience, poor draw, and unknown suitability for this track.
Trap 3 wins 22.6% from 62 OR3 491m runs, the strongest statistical draw. Trap 2 is the worst at 13.6%. Composite rank 1 aligns at 22.8%, making model and trap mutually reinforcing. Overrides general 450m trap hierarchy where T2 typically leads.
T1:19.1% T2:13.6% T3:22.6% T4:15.3% T5:16.1% T6:14.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 664m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bubbly Evie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Aero Pepinillo | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Princess Matilda | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Good Rainbow | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Scarty Mel | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Reality Power | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 664m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (664m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 305m | 450m | 480m | 491m | 500m | 515m | 525m | 575m | 664m | 712m | 750m | 942m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bubbly Evie | — | 0.605 | — | — | — | 0.594 | — | 0.620 | 0.600 | 0.608 | — | 0.614 |
| 2 | Aero Pepinillo | — | — | 0.604 | 0.596 | 0.584 | — | — | 0.615 | 0.613 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Princess Matilda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.608 | 0.602 | 0.629 | — |
| 5 | Scarty Mel | 0.605 | — | — | 0.613 | — | — | 0.579 | — | 0.619 | — | — | 0.636 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.