Won at open race level last time out with an 88-rated performance, crowded at the first bend but still getting up to lead from the third — showing the determination and class that makes him the pick tonight. Four wins from ten course and distance runs is the best strike rate in this field and his suitability scores across track, distance, trap, and class are the strongest of any runner. He fell two starts back at OR3 which masks what was otherwise a consistent run of form — P91 winning before that, and P72 and P67 in competitive company. His early pace of 63 means he will be involved from the off and his Fader profile is manageable from a prominent position.