The only Front Runner in the field and by far the fastest dog — speed rating of 62 is seven points clear of the next-best, and the first bend rating of 60 is the highest in the race. Early pace of 59 means he should be leading by the first bend, and on Kinsley's downhill gradient that is a huge advantage. Average performance of 47 is level with the rest of the field, so there is no quality gap to overcome. One course and distance win from ten runs is modest, but the pace profile is exactly what wins at Kinsley. Trap 6 at A7 wins 17.83% — middling, but the early pace advantage should overcome any trap disadvantage at a track where pace is the primary predictor.