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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ferryforth Axeld 3y 6 | D Calvert — 17% R533 W92 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 49 | 47 (3) | 30 (5) | 59 (1) | 43 (3) | 50 (2) | 35 (5) | 39 (4) | 43 (4) | 58 (1) | 59 (1) | 6 | 34 | - | 30 | 45 | 45 | 2 | 11/8 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Abigail Surpriseb 2y 10 | C A Williams — 15% R353 W53 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 52 | 58 (1) | 53 (2) | 44 (2) | 41 (5) | 46 (3) | 52 (2) | 52 (2) | 37 (4) | 57 (1) | 38 (5) | 38 | 35 | - | 53 | 49 | 48 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Redbrick Beyonceb 2y 7 | J W Gaskin — 22% R320 W71 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | 63 | 51 | 44 (2) | 46 (4) | 48 (3) | 60 (1) | 35 (5) | 44 (4) | 61 (1) | 44 (3) | 46 (4) | 60 (1) | 39 | 39 | - | 34 | 48 | 55 | 1 | 10/11F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Millhouse Iand 3y 5 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R314 W56 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 49 | 58 (1) | 50 (2) | 59 (1) | 41 (6) | 36 (4) | 42 (4) | 39 (3) | 47 (4) | 37 (3) | - | 34 | 33 | - | 33 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 12/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Cockneyalfitnessb 2y 6 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R314 W56 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 46 | 40 (4) | 35 (5) | 42 (4) | 49 (3) | 40 (4) | 50 (2) | 59 (1) | 41 (3) | 37 (5) | 42 (1) | 15 | 23 | - | 12 | 43 | 37 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
Both the composite model's top selection and the fastest dog on the clock — that alignment is one of the strongest signals in the system and wins over a quarter of the time at this grade. Has been racing at B2 level, winning two starts back in 28.15, and drops in class tonight to B3 where the opposition should be more comfortable for her. Her best time of 27.99 over this course and distance is comfortably the quickest in the field, and she tends to come from off the pace with a strong finish — a style that suits Doncaster's fair layout. The only concern is trap 3, the weakest draw at this grade (17.9%), but her quality advantage should be enough to overcome it.
Two wins on the bounce and stepping up — genuine danger.
Best draw but too inconsistent and low trap suitability.
Consistent B4 winner stepping up — place chance at best.
Poor suitability and form not strong enough at this grade.
Speed R1 wins 27.3% from 582 B3 runs — strongest signal. Composite R1 at 24.6%. T3 is weakest trap (17.9%). Doncaster 450m is a Tier 1 mega-stack venue.
T1:23.6% T2:20.4% T3:17.9% T4:21.1% T5:21.1% T6:23.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ferryforth Axel | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Abigail Surprise | 51 | 8 | All-Rounder |
3Redbrick Beyonce | 51 | 59 | Closer |
5Millhouse Ian | 50 | 19 | All-Rounder |
6Cockneyalfitness | 45 | 84 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.