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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Antigua Lumiered 4y 36 | J R Hall — 21% R317 W65 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 48 | 67 (3) | 66 (3) | 63 (4) | 77 (1) | 37 (2) | 73 (1) | 81 (2) | 48 (1) | 24 (5) | - | 40 | 41 | 20 | 28 | 61 | 46 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Skin Faded 2y 5 | I E Walker — 14% R236 W33 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 55 | 52 (4) | 82 (1) | 55 (6) | 54 (5) | 81 (1) | 62 (3) | 46 (5) | 37 (1) | 37 (1) | 76 (1) | 28 | 40 | - | 44 | 61 | 50 | 1 | 11/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ No Jay Nod 2y 25 | D T Smith — 17% R388 W65 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 50 | 79 (2) | 89 (2) | 60 (4) | 65 (4) | 85 (1) | 58 (5) | 85 (1) | 92 (2) | 67 (4) | 75 (5) | 17 | 41 | 52 | 43 | 76 | 53 | 4 | 5/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Bower Lindab 4y 36 | G B Ballentine — 15% R108 W16 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | 62 | 30 | 68 (3) | 54 (5) | 51 (5) | 75 (2) | 70 (3) | 71 (3) | 42 (6) | 93 (1) | 93 (1) | 93 (1) | 26 | - | - | 26 | 66 | 47 | 3 | 13/8F | ||
| 5 | ▶ False Warriord 3y 112 | J R Hall — 21% R317 W65 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 58 | 85 (1) | 81 (1) | 68 (2) | 76 (1) | 74 (1) | 53 (5) | 47 (6) | 47 (4) | 50 (5) | 75 (1) | 43 | 29 | - | 57 | 66 | 50 | 2 | 7/1 | ||
Carries the highest average performance rating in the field by a considerable margin, and recent runs justify the number. Last time out at this grade produced a P79 rated second place ('Rls,RanOnWell') over this exact trip and distance - genuine A2 form. One run earlier brought a P89 at S1 staying distance of 660 metres, leading and rallying to finish second in what was an exceptional performance by any standard, demonstrating both stamina and early pace ability simultaneously. One run prior to that was a P60 hampered by interference at bend three and a further bump at bend four - effectively a non-race. Has also run at A1 level (P65 with a check at bend one). The Closer pace profile (EP=0) is the only technical concern in a 5-runner race, but reduced field size means gaps appear more readily and the dog does not need to be first to the bend - she needs to be close enough to strike in the final two bends. The raw performance differential between this runner and the rest of the field is the primary analytical case.
The form horse. Three wins from four including the last two. Stepping up to A2 fresh from A3 dominance - the key risk. Dangerous if she replicates her recent front-running style.
Good draw and decent recent form at the right grade, but 10-point performance gap to the selection and inconsistent starting habits keep her third in the rankings.
Fine A3 performer who has shown he struggles when stepping up. Evidence in A2 is not encouraging. Class is the limiting factor here.
Talented on past evidence but 17-month absence from peak form makes assessment difficult. Cannot be overlooked if market confident, but too many unknowns to recommend.
Trap 1 carries the strongest historical draw (21.0%) at 480m Dunstall. With 5 runners, pace dynamics shift: closers find clearer runs and front-runners face less congestion at the first bend.
T1:21.0% T2:17.4% T3:17.1% T4:17.5% T5:18.8% T6:15.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Antigua Lumiere | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Skin Fade | 57 | 4 | Fader |
3No Jay No | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Bower Linda | 9 | 100 | Closer |
5False Warrior | 60 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.